L’École des cotesFrançais
Fenerbahce v Eyüpspor
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prévision 70.43%1.42cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -3.10%
Kelly -11.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.98%70.46%70.30%72.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.311.301.3679.37%76.18%76.92%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Eyüpspor (Visiteur)
Prévision 12.60%7.94cote équitable
EV +13.36%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.223%
avec la cote maximale 9.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.38%12.47%12.73%13.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.757.687.509.0014.81%13.02%13.33%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 16.97%5.89cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.306%
Kelly +0.367%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.28%17.07%16.97%19.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.295.256.0022.22%18.91%19.05%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +13.36%E +1.48%K +1.67%G +0.223% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +13.36%E +1.48%K +1.67%G +0.223% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.41%E -0.419%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -9.85%E -7.69%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.26%E -8.93%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.26%E -8.93%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.26%E -8.93%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.74%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.81%EV +3.28%E +0.400%K +0.456%G +0.015% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.44%EV -0.031%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.29%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV +1.77%E +0.219%K +0.250%G +0.004% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.23%EV -13.61%E -2.67%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.29%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV +1.77%E +0.219%K +0.250%G +0.004% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.23%EV -13.61%E -2.67%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +0.761%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -3.26%E -0.571%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -7.73%E -5.90%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +0.761%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.35%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.85%E -7.69%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +0.761%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +0.761%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.63%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -4.28%E -0.563%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -7.50%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.80%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.69%EV -5.16%E -0.685%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.51%EV -1.73%E -0.299%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.21%E -3.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.14%E -7.09%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.42%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.61%EV -5.79%E -0.774%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.97%EV -5.63%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.13%EV -9.32%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -4.95%E -0.885%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.41%E -0.419%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.35%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.62%EV -9.85%E -7.69%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV +1.84%E +0.306%K +0.367%G +0.007% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.37%EV -10.55%E -8.31%K -39.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.86%EV -10.05%E -1.90%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -18.53%E -3.86%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -9.14%E -7.09%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -23.62%E -5.25%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-17 14:21 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.45%EV -7.73%E -5.90%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -14.35%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -10.05%E -1.90%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.55%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.85%EV -7.50%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.55%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.85%EV -7.50%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.07%EV -10.55%E -8.31%K -39.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -1.56%E -0.269%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.63% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |