La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Fenerbahce v Eyüpspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fenerbahce (Local)
Predicción 70.43%1.42momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -3.10%
Kelly -11.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.98%70.46%70.30%72.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.311.301.3679.37%76.18%76.92%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Eyüpspor (Visitante)
Predicción 12.60%7.94momio equitativo
EV +13.36%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.223%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.38%12.47%12.73%13.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.757.687.509.0014.81%13.02%13.33%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.97%5.89momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +0.306%
Kelly +0.367%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.28%17.07%16.97%19.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.295.256.0022.22%18.91%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +13.36%E +1.48%K +1.67%G +0.223% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +13.36%E +1.48%K +1.67%G +0.223% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.41%E -0.419%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -13.44%E -2.64%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -9.85%E -7.69%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.26%E -8.93%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.26%E -8.93%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.26%E -8.93%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV +7.06%E +0.830%K +0.941%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.74%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.81%EV +3.28%E +0.400%K +0.456%G +0.015% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.44%EV -0.031%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.29%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV +1.77%E +0.219%K +0.250%G +0.004% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.23%EV -13.61%E -2.67%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.29%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.48%EV +1.77%E +0.219%K +0.250%G +0.004% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.23%EV -13.61%E -2.67%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +0.761%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -3.26%E -0.571%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.11%EV -7.73%E -5.90%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV +0.761%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.35%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.85%E -7.69%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +0.761%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV +0.761%E +0.095%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.63%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -4.28%E -0.563%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -7.50%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.80%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.69%EV -5.16%E -0.685%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.51%EV -1.73%E -0.299%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.21%E -3.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.14%E -7.09%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.54%E -0.738%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.42%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.61%EV -5.79%E -0.774%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.97%EV -5.63%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.13%EV -9.32%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -4.95%E -0.885%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.41%E -0.419%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.92%E -3.64%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.10%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -10.89%E -2.08%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.65%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.35%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.62%EV -9.85%E -7.69%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV +1.84%E +0.306%K +0.367%G +0.007% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.32%E -4.76%K -19.17%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -15.14%E -3.03%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.37%EV -10.55%E -8.31%K -39.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.77%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.86%EV -10.05%E -1.90%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.44%E -6.49%K -28.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -18.53%E -3.86%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.98%EV -9.14%E -7.09%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.53%EV -11.83%E -1.69%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.49%EV -23.62%E -5.25%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-17 14:21 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.45%EV -7.73%E -5.90%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -14.35%E -2.11%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -10.05%E -1.90%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.55%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.85%EV -7.50%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.55%EV -7.03%E -5.33%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.85%EV -7.50%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.07%EV -10.55%E -8.31%K -39.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -14.98%E -2.22%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -1.56%E -0.269%K -0.325%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.88% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.63% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |