Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Fenerbahce v Alanyaspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prediction 73.48%1.36fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -9.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%73.60%73.38%75.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.251.251.3284.03%79.71%80.00%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alanyaspor (Visit)
Prediction 10.17%9.84fair odd
EV +11.84%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.140%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.55%10.09%10.19%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.579.5011.0012.50%10.45%10.53%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.35%6.12fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.323%
Kelly +0.384%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 6.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.20%16.31%16.43%17.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.675.756.2420.00%17.65%17.39%16.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 73.48%; Alanyaspor (Visit): 10.17%; Draw: 16.35%. For Alanyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.84. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.24%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.55%EV +11.84%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.140% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -9.61%E -7.82%K -41.80%G +0.000% | 10.52I 9.51%NM 8.80%EV +6.96%E +0.662%K +0.731%G +0.051% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -8.88%E -7.16%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +6.76%E +0.643%K +0.711%G +0.048% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.94%EV -4.36%E -0.746%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.35%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 10.49I 9.53%NM 9.19%EV +6.65%E +0.634%K +0.701%G +0.047% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.46%EV +2.01%E +0.323%K +0.384%G +0.008% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.42%EV +3.71%E +0.363%K +0.403%G +0.015% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 16.07%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +1.67%E +0.167%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 06:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.67%E -5.26%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +1.67%E +0.167%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV -1.91%E -0.319%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.38%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.67%E +0.167%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.20%EV +1.36%E +0.219%K +0.261%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.88%E -7.16%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +1.67%E +0.167%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -1.91%E -0.319%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.26%EV -9.61%E -7.82%K -41.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV +1.67%E +0.167%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.26%EV -9.61%E -7.82%K -41.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV +1.67%E +0.167%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.26%EV -9.61%E -7.82%K -41.80%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV +1.67%E +0.167%K +0.186%G +0.003% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.92%EV -3.00%E -2.27%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 9.52I 10.50%NM 10.11%EV -3.21%E -0.337%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 16.97%EV -7.31%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-14 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -3.41%E -0.359%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -3.41%E -0.359%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.83%EV -6.67%E -5.26%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -3.41%E -0.359%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.00%EV -11.08%E -9.16%K -52.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV -3.41%E -0.359%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -11.72%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -11.82%E -9.85%K -59.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -3.41%E -0.359%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -11.82%E -9.85%K -59.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -3.41%E -0.359%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.64%EV -7.41%E -5.88%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.09%EV -6.46%E -0.702%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.28%EV -6.82%E -1.20%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.75%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.40%EV -6.97%E -0.762%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -1.91%E -0.319%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.71%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.39%EV -6.97%E -0.762%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.90%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-16 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.71%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.39%EV -6.97%E -0.762%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.90%EV -2.24%E -0.374%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-16 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.22%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.29%EV -5.18%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-17 06:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.20%E -4.03%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 06:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.45%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.95%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.45%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -5.94%E -4.64%K -21.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.88%E -7.16%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.91%E -0.319%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.42%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.39%EV -8.45%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 05:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 05:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 05:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-17 10:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -8.88%E -7.16%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -11.72%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.78%EV -8.88%E -7.16%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.03%EV -8.49%E -0.944%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -14.17%E -2.70%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.23%EV -12.55%E -10.55%K -66.07%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.02%EV -11.54%E -1.33%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.76%EV -14.99%E -2.88%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.47%E -3.44%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.58%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -6.00%E -1.04%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -6.67%E -5.26%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.58%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -13.58%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.09%E -1.83%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-17 06:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.83%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -13.58%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -16.62%E -3.26%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.02%EV -10.35%E -8.48%K -47.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -13.58%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -11.72%E -2.17%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-17 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.75%EV -11.82%E -9.85%K -59.09%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 10.78%EV -17.65%E -2.18%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.47%EV -13.35%E -2.52%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-17 15:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.52%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -18.66%E -2.33%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -18.26%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-17 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.00% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.48% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.58% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.91% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.83% | 1.1% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.23% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.54% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.89% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.43% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.68% | 3.2% | 2026-10-17 16:01 |