L’École des cotes

Eyüpspor v Samsunspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : Eyüpspor 1–2 Samsunspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Eyüpspor (Local)

Prévision 23.36%4.28cote équitable
EV +2.07%
Avantage +0.473%
Kelly +0.613%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 4.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.10%23.47%23.25%25.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.964.004.3727.78%25.24%25.00%22.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Samsunspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.37%2.03cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.14%49.28%49.51%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.871.9657.80%53.47%53.48%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.27%3.67cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -0.974%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%27.25%27.24%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.5433.33%29.62%29.41%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.37I 22.88%NM 22.23%EV +2.07%E +0.473%K +0.613%G +0.013%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.44%EV -3.45%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 16:49
Pinnacle4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -0.970%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.54%EV -3.73%E -1.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.68%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 16:45
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -1.90%E -0.453%K -0.595%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:50
GTbets4.18I 23.92%NM 22.62%EV -2.37%E -0.567%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.24%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.14%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.07%E -0.740%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:44
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:24
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:24
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:45
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Betsson4.07I 24.57%NM 22.86%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 16:50
NordicBet4.07I 24.57%NM 22.86%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 16:49
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:45
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:25
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:25
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 14:09
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 16:25
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 16:44
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:49
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:49
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:49
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.74%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 15:10
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.74%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 15:09
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.74%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:49
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:49
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:45
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 16:25
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 16:24
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 16:24
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.08%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 13:45
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 23.73%EV -10.55%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 16:49
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:49
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:45
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-13 16:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.36%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-13 14:39
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.72%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 15:59
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -12.72%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 16:49
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -14.59%E -8.43%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.18%E -6.06%K -9.09%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-13 16:44
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -13.58%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -8.17%E -4.39%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -14.75%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.16%E -4.98%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 16:50
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-13 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-04-13 16:50
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-13 16:50