La escuela de los momios

Eyüpspor v Samsunspor

Inicio: 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Final: Eyüpspor 1–2 Samsunspor

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Eyüpspor (Local)

Predicción 23.36%4.28momio equitativo
EV +2.07%
Ventaja +0.473%
Kelly +0.613%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.10%23.47%23.25%25.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.964.004.3727.78%25.24%25.00%22.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Samsunspor (Visitante)

Predicción 49.37%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.14%49.28%49.51%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.871.871.9657.80%53.47%53.48%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -0.974%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.40%27.25%27.24%28.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.5433.33%29.62%29.41%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.37I 22.88%NM 22.23%EV +2.07%E +0.473%K +0.613%G +0.013%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.33%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.44%EV -3.45%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-13 16:49
Pinnacle4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -0.970%E -0.229%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.54%EV -3.73%E -1.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.68%EV -4.81%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-13 16:45
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -1.90%E -0.453%K -0.595%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:50
GTbets4.18I 23.92%NM 22.62%EV -2.37%E -0.567%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.24%EV -5.21%E -2.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.14%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -3.07%E -0.740%K -0.975%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.18%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-13 16:44
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:24
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -6.69%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:24
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 15:45
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -4.24%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Betsson4.07I 24.57%NM 22.86%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 16:50
NordicBet4.07I 24.57%NM 22.86%EV -4.94%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.76%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 16:49
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -4.72%E -2.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:45
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:25
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:24
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:25
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 14:09
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 16:25
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 16:44
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:49
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:49
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -6.58%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 16:49
LowVig.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.74%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 15:10
BetOnline.ag3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.74%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -5.70%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 15:09
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.74%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 16:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:49
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:49
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:45
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 16:25
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 16:24
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -8.91%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -10.00%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 16:24
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.08%E -2.62%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 13:45
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 23.73%EV -10.55%E -2.75%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 16:49
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:49
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:45
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.45%EV -10.15%E -5.58%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-13 16:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -8.67%E -4.68%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.36%E -3.50%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-13 14:39
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -9.65%E -5.28%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.72%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-13 15:59
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -11.25%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.53%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -12.72%E -3.98%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-13 16:49
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -12.41%E -3.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -14.59%E -8.43%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.18%E -6.06%K -9.09%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-13 16:44
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -13.58%E -3.67%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -8.17%E -4.39%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -5.90%E -1.71%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -14.75%E -4.04%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.70%EV -9.16%E -4.98%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.75%EV -8.63%E -2.58%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-13 16:50
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -15.92%E -4.42%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.27%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-13 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-04-13 16:50
Kalshi4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-04-13 16:50