Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.40
assuming max odds 1.88
assuming max odds 3.98
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eyüpspor (Local): 23.15%; Goztepe (Visit): 51.17%; Draw: 25.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.81%EV -10.43%E -2.69%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.07%EV -3.80%E -2.02%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.12%EV +2.22%E +0.559%K +0.746%G +0.017% | 4.2% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.06%EV +1.38%E +0.315%K +0.408%G +0.006% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.24%EV -5.34%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.70%EV -3.43%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.79%E -0.664%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.57%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.84%EV -4.82%E -2.59%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.79%E -0.664%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -2.79%E -0.664%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.68%E -0.982%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-12 16:32 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -9.73%E -2.50%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.34%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.48%EV -8.34%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.38%EV -7.38%E -4.08%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -14.36%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-12 16:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -10.66%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -5.34%E -2.88%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.55%EV -2.33%E -0.551%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -4.82%E -2.59%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.29%EV -7.02%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.55%EV -2.33%E -0.551%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -4.82%E -2.59%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.29%EV -7.02%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -4.31%E -2.31%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -0.474%E -0.110%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -6.36%E -3.47%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV +1.84%E +0.418%K +0.541%G +0.010% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.43%E -5.33%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -8.41%E -4.70%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 16:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -15.52%E -4.25%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.73%EV -9.94%E -5.65%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -3.95%E -0.951%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.80%EV -8.92%E -5.01%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -8.82%E -2.48%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-12 16:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -0.474%E -0.110%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.87%E -3.77%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.48%E -6.63%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-12 16:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -14.36%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.70%EV -14.03%E -8.35%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.23I 23.64%NM 21.90%EV -2.09%E -0.495%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -10.62%E -3.05%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.79%E -0.664%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -6.87%E -3.77%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -7.38%E -4.08%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -7.38%E -4.08%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.98%EV -7.38%E -4.08%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -7.89%E -4.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.10%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-12 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.42%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -12.05%E -3.17%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.06%EV -8.41%E -4.70%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-12 16:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.20%E -3.52%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.45%E -5.97%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-12 16:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-10-12 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.14% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 0.4% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.57% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |