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Erzurum BB v Goztepe

2026-11-22 10:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Erzurum BB (Local)

Prediction 32.94%3.04fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.64%32.93%32.97%34.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.752.842.9540.82%36.32%35.21%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Goztepe (Visit)

Prediction 39.05%2.56fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.59%39.02%43.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.312.312.5147.62%43.32%43.20%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV +8.11%
Edge +2.10%
Kelly +2.83%
Growth +0.230%

assuming max odds 3.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.10%27.47%28.01%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.343.313.8633.90%29.96%30.21%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Erzurum BB (Local): 32.94%; Goztepe (Visit): 39.05%; Draw: 28.01%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.86, producing a positive expected value of +8.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.26%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.10%EV +8.11%E +2.10%K +2.83%G +0.230%7.5%2026-11-09 11:35
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.26%EV -16.04%E -7.46%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.10%EV +8.11%E +2.10%K +2.83%G +0.230%7.5%2026-11-09 11:35
1xBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.87%EV -2.82%E -0.956%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.10%EV -3.15%E -1.27%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.03%EV -3.10%E -0.895%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-09 11:50
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.78%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 12:09
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.20%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.09%EV -1.98%E -0.790%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.71%EV -6.74%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.88%EV -6.77%E -2.39%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.10%EV -7.06%E -2.97%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -7.02%E -2.11%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.28%E -2.62%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.58%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 12:10
Bovada🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -8.42%E -3.03%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.38%E -3.24%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-09 16:32
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -14.35%E -5.52%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.38%E -3.24%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-11-09 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.06%EV -12.70%E -4.79%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.14%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.99%EV -12.34%E -3.94%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-09 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -19.29%E -7.87%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.18%EV -14.09%E -6.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.54%EV -14.58%E -4.78%K -7.11%G +0.000%19.1%2026-11-09 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 32.92%EV -17.65%E -7.06%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.19%EV -17.99%E -8.57%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 27.90%EV -17.38%E -5.89%K -8.91%G +0.000%21.5%2026-11-09 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.36%1xBet 2.95 (34.0%) / Pinnacle 2.51 (40.0%) / Betsson 3.86 (26.0%)Show all 2 combinations
Erzurum BB (Local)Goztepe (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.51 (40.0%)Betsson🎯 3.86 (26.0%)+0.356%
1xBet🎯 2.95 (34.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.51 (40.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.86 (26.0%)+0.356%

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