Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 7.70
assuming max odds 4.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Erzurum BB (Local): 64.07%; Eyüpspor (Visit): 13.38%; Draw: 22.55%. For Eyüpspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.00%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.16%EV -5.17%E -3.50%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.52%EV +3.00%E +0.390%K +0.448%G +0.013% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.32%EV -2.58%E -0.597%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -5.81%E -3.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.68%EV +0.326%E +0.043%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -9.02%E -6.35%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +0.326%E +0.043%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.03%E -0.705%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-17 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -9.02%E -6.35%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +0.326%E +0.043%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 10:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.58%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.74%EV -2.35%E -0.322%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.88%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 13.14%EV -2.48%E -0.341%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.98%EV -5.96%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-17 10:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -3.02%E -0.416%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 10:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.72%EV -9.66%E -6.85%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 12.83%EV -3.42%E -0.474%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.45%EV -2.58%E -0.597%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.52%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.52%EV -5.69%E -0.808%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.96%EV -6.41%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 07:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.52%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.52%EV -5.69%E -0.808%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.96%EV -6.41%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 07:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.52%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.52%EV -5.69%E -0.808%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.96%EV -6.41%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-17 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -5.17%E -3.50%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 10:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.60%EV -6.45%E -4.42%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -3.03%E -0.705%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.60%EV -5.17%E -3.50%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -7.10%E -4.89%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -4.16%E -0.978%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -7.10%E -4.89%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.38%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%EV -8.67%E -2.14%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -14.31%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.14%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.76%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -6.36%E -0.909%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -14.31%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.45%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.45%EV -7.70%E -1.12%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-17 10:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.27%EV -0.688%E -0.444%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.19%EV -9.04%E -1.33%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.54%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.40%EV -9.66%E -6.85%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -9.71%E -1.44%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 10:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -2.35%E -0.544%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.17%E -3.50%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.17%E -3.50%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.17%E -3.50%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-17 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.10%E -4.89%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 10:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 10:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 10:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -7.74%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-17 10:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.14%EV -10.30%E -7.36%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.31%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-17 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.89%EV -14.14%E -10.55%K -41.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.38%EV -13.05%E -2.01%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -9.02%E -6.35%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -16.40%E -2.62%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 09:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -1.33%E -0.863%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.44%EV -9.02%E -6.35%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.53%EV -18.40%E -3.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.03%EV -13.18%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.34%EV -9.66%E -6.85%K -23.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.88%EV -19.74%E -3.29%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -23.08%E -4.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -14.31%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -23.08%E -4.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -14.31%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -23.08%E -4.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -14.31%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.69%EV -23.08%E -4.01%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.31%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.47%EV -5.17%E -3.50%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -25.09%E -4.48%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -14.31%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-17 10:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.69% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.69% | 0.1% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.51% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-10-17 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-10-17 10:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.59% | 1.8% | 2026-10-17 10:05 |