Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çorum FK v Kasimpasa SK

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 16:00 UTC

Final: Çorum FK 0–1 Kasimpasa SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çorum FK (Local)

Prediction 47.30%2.11fair odd
EV +0.284%
Edge +0.134%
Kelly +0.254%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%47.15%47.27%48.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.012.002.1253.48%49.70%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visit)

Prediction 25.47%3.93fair odd
EV +0.865%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%25.53%25.44%28.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.573.603.9632.26%27.99%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%27.32%27.28%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.53%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çorum FK (Local): 47.30%; Kasimpasa SK (Visit): 25.47%; Draw: 27.23%. For Kasimpasa SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.865%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.22%EV -9.18%E -4.78%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.38%EV +0.865%E +0.219%K +0.292%G +0.003%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.40%EV -11.25%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 15:14
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.22%EV -9.18%E -4.78%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.38%EV +0.865%E +0.219%K +0.292%G +0.003%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.40%EV -11.25%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 15:14
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.41%EV -3.50%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.55%EV +0.356%E +0.090%K +0.121%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -0.663%E -0.170%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:03
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -3.21%E -0.845%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -6.81%E -3.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -3.21%E -0.845%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.80%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -3.21%E -0.845%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%EV -3.50%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -4.48%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -1.99%E -0.553%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 14:48
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.38%EV -3.50%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -4.48%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -1.99%E -0.553%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 14:49
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.48%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.48%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.48%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -4.48%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.45%EV -7.98%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 14:44
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.59%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.35%EV -4.99%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.06%EV -8.25%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 15:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.10%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -5.25%E -1.41%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.80%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.47%EV -5.87%E -2.95%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 14:49
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:43
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89%EV -7.28%E -3.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -6.81%E -3.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.76%E -3.98%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -8.30%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 15:04
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.63%EV -0.662%E -0.315%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.38%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-22 09:24
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -7.28%E -3.72%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -8.80%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.57%EV -11.54%E -6.17%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:40
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:40
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:40
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:40
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV +0.284%E +0.134%K +0.254%G +0.001%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -3.03%E -1.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -19.77%E -6.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 11:40
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -3.50%E -1.72%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -19.77%E -6.28%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -21.04%E -6.79%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -5.39%E -2.70%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -21.04%E -6.79%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-22 15:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-22 15:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-22 14:55