Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çorum FK v Kasimpasa SK

2026-08-22 16:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çorum FK (Local)

Prediction 40.78%2.45fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%40.87%40.74%41.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.3846.51%43.54%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visit)

Prediction 31.98%3.13fair odd
EV -0.865%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.412%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%31.85%31.98%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.873.1037.04%34.54%34.84%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.739%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.29%27.28%28.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.6032.26%29.36%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Çorum FK (Local): 40.78%; Kasimpasa SK (Visit): 31.98%; Draw: 27.24%. For Kasimpasa SK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -0.865%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -2.95%E -1.24%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.49%EV -9.50%E -3.36%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -3.28%E -0.925%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 14:49
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -8.22%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -3.36%E -1.42%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -8.22%E -2.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 15:14
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -7.26%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 15:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.86%E -3.11%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.18%E -1.78%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.86%E -3.11%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-17 15:14
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.27%EV -5.81%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.85%EV -1.18%E -0.383%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.88%EV -6.82%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -5.81%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -1.18%E -0.383%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.93%EV -7.10%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -5.81%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.83%EV -1.18%E -0.383%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.93%EV -7.10%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 17:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -5.81%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -8.86%E -3.11%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:04
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.26%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:15
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -7.26%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 15:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.90%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.86%E -3.11%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 15:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.86%E -3.11%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.65%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.46%E -3.74%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 15:09
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.21%E -2.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.46%E -3.74%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 15:09
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.60%EV -6.30%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 14:45
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -7.03%E -3.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.60%EV -6.30%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.80%EV -9.28%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 14:43
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -7.44%E -3.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.18%EV -4.38%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -8.46%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -0.865%E -0.279%K -0.412%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 16:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.26%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 15:50
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.25%E -3.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.46%E -3.74%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.93%EV -11.11%E -5.10%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.06%E -4.38%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 14:59
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -12.33%E -5.74%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.66%E -5.06%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-17 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%4.9%2026-08-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%4.9%2026-08-17 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 40.73%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%4.9%2026-08-17 18:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 38.55%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%13.8%2026-08-17 17:05

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