Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çorum FK v Çaykur Rizespor

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC

Final: Çorum FK 2–1 Çaykur Rizespor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çorum FK (Local)

Prediction 48.30%2.07fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.93%48.33%48.29%50.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0155.56%52.31%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Çaykur Rizespor (Visit)

Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.685%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.64%26.62%26.89%27.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.513.503.8131.75%28.50%28.57%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -0.208%
Edge -0.052%
Kelly -0.069%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.05%24.82%26.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.703.744.0028.99%27.01%26.74%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çorum FK (Local): 48.30%; Çaykur Rizespor (Visit): 26.75%; Draw: 24.95%. For Çaykur Rizespor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.26%EV -5.33%E -2.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.34%EV +1.92%E +0.505%K +0.685%G +0.013%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-16 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.68%E -5.18%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV +1.66%E +0.436%K +0.592%G +0.010%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:55
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:24
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:25
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:25
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -1.02%E -0.275%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.33%E -2.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-16 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.69%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:54
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.81%EV -2.92%E -1.45%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.84%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.35%EV -5.45%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 16:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -4.37%E -2.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-16 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -12.09%E -6.64%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -12.09%E -6.64%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -12.09%E -6.64%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -5.03%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 16:24
NordicBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.24%EV -5.33%E -2.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.15%EV -5.30%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -13.18%E -3.79%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.208%E -0.052%K -0.069%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-16 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -5.45%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 12:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.14%EV -5.45%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 12:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 16:15
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.30%E -3.25%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 16:14
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-16 16:14
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-16 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.68%EV -12.58%E -6.95%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-16 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -13.06%E -7.26%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -6.37%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-16 16:25
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.93%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.01%EV -7.44%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -6.94%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-16 06:00
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -3.40%E -1.70%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -5.33%E -2.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 16:20
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -5.33%E -2.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.71%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 16:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -7.26%E -3.78%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -7.97%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-16 16:35
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-16 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-16 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.81%E -2.98%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-16 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.61%E -6.34%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-16 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.69%EV -11.61%E -6.34%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.04%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -11.43%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-16 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.33%EV -9.20%E -4.89%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.38%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 16:18
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.26%E -3.78%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-16 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.23%E -4.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-16 16:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.44%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-16 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.75%E -4.06%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.72%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -12.68%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-16 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.99%EV -10.16%E -5.46%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -14.39%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.12%EV -7.69%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.23%EV -11.13%E -6.05%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -15.73%E -4.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -13.93%E -4.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-16 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-16 16:55
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-10-16 16:55
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-10-16 16:55
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-10-16 16:50