Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çorum FK v Alanyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 13:59 UTC

Final: Çorum FK 1–2 Alanyaspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çorum FK (Local)

Prediction 44.50%2.25fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.06%44.41%44.47%45.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.102.102.1750.25%47.59%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alanyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.572%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%27.50%27.45%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.363.5932.26%29.77%29.76%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.28%28.08%28.08%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.293.4332.26%30.51%30.40%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çorum FK (Local): 44.50%; Alanyaspor (Visit): 27.44%; Draw: 28.06%. For Alanyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.59, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.44%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%EV -3.44%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 02:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-17 23:50
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:35
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:35
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:35
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:40
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 14:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.33%E -2.02%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 23:50
Pinnacle🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.16%EV -5.22%E -2.45%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.79%EV -1.48%E -0.412%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.04%EV -3.75%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 14:05
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -5.67%E -2.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.00%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.12%EV -6.11%E -2.90%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -3.13%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -4.31%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.12%EV -6.11%E -2.90%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -3.13%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -4.31%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 03:00
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.12%EV -6.11%E -2.90%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.97%EV -3.13%E -0.886%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -4.31%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 03:00
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 10:01
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 14:02
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 13:34
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 13:35
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 15:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.56%E -3.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-16 15:51
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.58%EV -3.40%E -0.966%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.44%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:21
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.74%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.05%EV -5.60%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 14:04
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.46%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.52%EV -7.79%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 14:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -7.45%E -3.58%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 14:36
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.57%EV -7.89%E -3.81%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 09:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 05:05
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 13:34
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-16 15:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -13.56%E -4.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-16 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.93%E -4.82%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 08:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -8.78%E -4.28%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -14.93%E -4.82%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.12%E -5.01%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.64%EV -11.36%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.16%EV -11.05%E -3.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -11.01%E -5.50%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 14:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 44.37%EV -11.45%E -5.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.70%1.1%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%3.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%3.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.99%3.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.44%4.5%2026-09-18 15:15
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%4.8%2026-09-18 15:10