The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Çaykur Rizespor v Trabzonspor

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 16:00 UTC

Final: Çaykur Rizespor 3–4 Trabzonspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çaykur Rizespor (Local)

Prediction 24.36%4.11fair odd
EV +7.42%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.161%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.75%24.48%24.31%26.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.483.833.854.4128.74%26.08%25.97%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trabzonspor (Visit)

Prediction 52.01%1.92fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.94%51.94%51.99%53.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.781.781.9060.98%56.25%56.18%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.63%4.23fair odd
EV -0.743%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.32%23.59%23.70%25.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.913.924.2027.40%25.61%25.48%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çaykur Rizespor (Local): 24.36%; Trabzonspor (Visit): 52.01%; Draw: 23.63%. For Çaykur Rizespor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.41I 22.68%NM 21.75%EV +7.42%E +1.68%K +2.17%G +0.161%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.28%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.97%EV -9.25%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 15:55
BetUS🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -2.08%E -0.518%K -0.690%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.48%EV -4.30%E -2.34%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.50%EV -2.87%E -0.698%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-26 15:54
Pinnacle🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.67%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.23%EV -1.92%E -0.464%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 15:50
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:15
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:15
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:15
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:15
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.75%EV -7.42%E -4.17%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.57%E -0.643%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.94%E -4.49%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.83%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 15:54
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -3.79%E -0.959%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.13%EV -4.03%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12%EV -6.90%E -3.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.75%EV -1.22%E -0.291%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.13%EV -4.03%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12%EV -6.90%E -3.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.75%EV -1.22%E -0.291%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 15:40
NordicBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -4.52%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.40%EV -6.42%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-26 15:55
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.88%EV -5.34%E -2.94%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -6.65%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 14:45
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.83%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.83%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 14:45
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.01%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -5.86%E -3.24%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 15:55
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -4.82%E -2.63%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -0.743%E -0.177%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-26 15:10
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.22%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 15:15
GTbets🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.38%EV -6.47%E -1.68%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -3.78%E -2.04%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.03%EV -11.61%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 15:55
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.11%E -0.758%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 15:10
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 15:10
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.09%EV -7.94%E -4.49%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.83%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 15:48
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -7.44%E -1.96%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.32%EV -10.54%E -6.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 15:15
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.83%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-26 15:45
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.56%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.56%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 15:54
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -11.58%E -6.81%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 15:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.66%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.28%EV -11.58%E -6.81%K -16.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -12.56%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-26 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 24.38%EV -9.15%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.94%E -4.49%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 14:44
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -9.88%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.01%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-26 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -11.10%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.60%EV -9.50%E -5.46%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -3.11%E -0.758%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-26 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.74%EV -11.10%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.84%EV -14.70%E -8.97%K -22.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.42%EV -12.56%E -3.39%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-26 15:30
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-26 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-26 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-26 14:45
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -6.38%E -3.55%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 14:45
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.31%E -3.42%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -8.98%E -5.13%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.53%E -3.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -10.54%E -6.13%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-26 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.85%EV -13.53%E -3.81%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.99%EV -10.02%E -5.79%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.17%EV -13.74%E -3.76%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-26 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.72%EV -15.24%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.94%EV -1.18%E -0.622%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.34%EV -9.72%E -2.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-10-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-10-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-10-26 15:55
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-10-26 15:55
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.4%2026-10-26 15:55
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.53%1.9%2026-10-26 15:55

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