Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çaykur Rizespor v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Kickoff: 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Final: Çaykur Rizespor 2–1 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çaykur Rizespor (Local)

Prediction 52.63%1.90fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.57%52.62%54.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.761.8360.61%56.71%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit)

Prediction 22.27%4.49fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +0.718%
Kelly +0.915%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%22.19%22.27%23.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.104.004.6426.67%24.38%25.00%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.10%3.98fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -0.875%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.24%25.11%27.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.663.703.8530.77%27.30%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çaykur Rizespor (Local): 52.63%; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit): 22.27%; Draw: 25.10%. For Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.65%EV -4.74%E -2.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.93%EV +3.33%E +0.718%K +0.915%G +0.030%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.42%EV -4.12%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 16:49
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.90%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.97%EV +2.44%E +0.530%K +0.678%G +0.017%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.13%EV -3.62%E -0.943%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-13 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV +0.212%E +0.047%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.64%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.28%EV -10.00%E -5.85%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +0.212%E +0.047%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -7.37%E -4.19%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.01%E -0.458%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -9.14%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -2.01%E -0.458%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 16:44
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.01%E -0.458%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:44
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.57%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -3.13%E -0.719%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-13 16:45
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -3.13%E -0.719%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -9.64%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:44
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.57%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -10.53%E -6.19%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -3.57%E -0.825%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -12.15%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-13 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.24%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 16:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -4.24%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -17.17%E -5.20%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -4.24%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -17.17%E -5.20%K -7.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.37%E -0.875%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 16:34
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.53%E -6.19%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -6.47%E -1.54%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.66%E -4.31%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-13 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.37%E -4.19%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.24%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.93%EV -6.38%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 16:45
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.83%EV -7.37%E -4.19%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.24%EV -6.91%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.93%EV -6.38%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -9.64%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.53%E -6.19%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -8.70%E -2.12%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.64%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-13 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.84%E -3.87%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.20%EV -7.37%E -4.19%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 16:49
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.15%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.15%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.15%E -3.47%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 16:00
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -6.84%E -3.87%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.64%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.64%E -2.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 15:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.89%EV -13.16%E -7.97%K -20.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -10.92%E -2.73%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.29%EV -13.41%E -3.89%K -5.47%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-13 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -12.04%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -12.04%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -4.63%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.42%E -4.84%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.04%E -3.05%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 16:34
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:19
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:20
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:20
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:20
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.64%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -13.15%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -5.88%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.14%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -14.26%E -3.70%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 16:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -6.84%E -3.87%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -15.38%E -4.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.14%E -1.93%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-13 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.38%E -4.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-13 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.38%E -4.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-13 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.55%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.38%E -4.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -8.39%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-13 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -12.10%E -7.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -16.49%E -4.40%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -18.43%E -5.67%K -8.19%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-13 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-04-13 16:50
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-13 16:45
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.70%2.5%2026-04-13 16:50
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.8%2026-04-13 16:45