L’École des cotes

Besiktas JK v Trabzonspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

Score final : Besiktas JK 1–2 Trabzonspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prévision 54.81%1.82cote équitable
EV +0.852%
Avantage +0.463%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.28%54.74%54.86%56.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.8461.73%58.99%58.82%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Trabzonspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.98%4.35cote équitable
EV -0.508%
Avantage -0.117%
Kelly -0.153%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%23.08%22.96%25.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.994.004.3328.17%25.08%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.21%4.50cote équitable
EV +0.176%
Avantage +0.039%
Kelly +0.050%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.02%22.18%22.18%24.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.154.204.5128.57%24.11%23.81%22.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.74%EV +0.852%E +0.463%K +1.01%G +0.009%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.74%EV -13.38%E -3.55%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.52%EV +0.176%E +0.039%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 16:59
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.84%EV -3.53%E -2.01%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.81%EV -8.55%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.35%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.63%E -2.66%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -0.508%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.52%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -5.18%E -2.99%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.27%E -0.515%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.18%E -2.99%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.82%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.18%E -2.99%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:59
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -0.046%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:59
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
NordicBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.80%EV -6.25%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.80%EV -9.38%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.80%EV -6.25%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.80%EV -9.38%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -9.24%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 16:55
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.046%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.38%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -1.20%E -0.279%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -1.20%E -0.279%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:00
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -16.13%E -4.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -7.37%E -4.36%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.79%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.515%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.37%E -4.36%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.37%E -4.36%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.92%E -4.71%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -4.64%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.04%E -2.48%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -0.508%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 16:59
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.41%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -10.85%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -15.59%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.59%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -9.01%E -5.43%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -6.94%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -9.01%E -5.43%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -18.43%E -5.19%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -9.56%E -5.80%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 16:59
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.56%E -5.80%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.56%E -5.80%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.56%E -5.80%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.77%EV -11.21%E -6.92%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 17:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.21%E -6.92%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -17.28%E -4.80%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.28%EV -11.21%E -6.92%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.53%EV -17.28%E -4.80%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.20%EV -22.26%E -6.36%K -8.90%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-05-09 17:00