La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Besiktas JK v Trabzonspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Besiktas JK (Local)
Predicción 54.81%1.82momio equitativo
EV +0.852%
Ventaja +0.463%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.28%54.74%54.86%56.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.701.8461.73%58.99%58.82%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Trabzonspor (Visitante)
Predicción 22.98%4.35momio equitativo
EV -0.508%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.153%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.51%23.08%22.96%25.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.994.004.3328.17%25.08%25.00%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.21%4.50momio equitativo
EV +0.176%
Ventaja +0.039%
Kelly +0.050%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.02%22.18%22.18%24.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.154.204.5128.57%24.11%23.81%22.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.74%EV +0.852%E +0.463%K +1.01%G +0.009% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.74%EV -13.38%E -3.55%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.52%EV +0.176%E +0.039%K +0.050%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.84%EV -3.53%E -2.01%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.81%EV -8.55%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.35%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.63%E -2.66%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV -0.508%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.52%EV -5.16%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -5.18%E -2.99%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.27%E -0.515%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -5.18%E -2.99%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.82%E -0.883%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.18%E -2.99%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -5.73%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.33%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%EV -0.046%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.80%EV -6.25%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.80%EV -9.38%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.80%EV -6.25%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.80%EV -9.38%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.05%EV -6.27%E -3.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -9.24%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -0.046%E -0.010%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -3.38%E -0.777%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.49%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -1.20%E -0.279%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -1.20%E -0.279%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -6.82%E -4.01%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -16.13%E -4.42%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -7.37%E -4.36%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.79%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -2.27%E -0.515%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.37%E -4.36%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -7.37%E -4.36%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.50%E -0.832%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.92%E -4.71%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.25%EV -4.64%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.04%E -2.48%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.77%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -0.508%E -0.117%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.71%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.91%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.41%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.42%EV -10.85%E -2.80%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -15.59%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -8.47%E -5.07%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.59%E -4.10%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.54%EV -9.01%E -5.43%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.77%EV -6.94%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -5.60%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.97%EV -9.01%E -5.43%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -18.43%E -5.19%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -9.56%E -5.80%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -12.26%E -3.10%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.56%E -5.80%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.56%E -5.80%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -9.56%E -5.80%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.93%E -2.18%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.77%EV -11.21%E -6.92%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.21%E -6.92%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -17.28%E -4.80%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -11.15%E -2.79%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.28%EV -11.21%E -6.92%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.53%EV -17.28%E -4.80%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.20%EV -22.26%E -6.36%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |