L’École des cotes

Besiktas JK v Goztepe

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 17:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prévision 57.54%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.44%57.55%57.58%59.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.611.621.6969.44%62.02%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Goztepe (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.36%5.45cote équitable
EV +1.52%
Avantage +0.274%
Kelly +0.335%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 5.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.80%18.35%18.32%20.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.404.964.805.5322.73%20.16%20.83%18.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.10%4.15cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.589%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.43%24.10%24.10%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.813.854.0530.30%26.23%25.97%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.24%E -6.56%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.80%EV +1.52%E +0.274%K +0.335%G +0.005%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 16:59
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.24%E -6.56%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.80%EV +1.52%E +0.274%K +0.335%G +0.005%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +0.966%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +0.966%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.49%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.68%EV +0.232%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.83%EV -2.39%E -0.589%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 16:59
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.92%EV -0.686%E -0.127%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.73%EV -5.52%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 16:59
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -0.870%E -0.161%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 16:58
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 16:59
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.11%EV -4.17%E -0.800%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.61%EV -7.45%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.11%EV -6.96%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.08%EV -8.51%E -5.35%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:59
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 58.08%EV -8.51%E -5.35%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 16:59
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:58
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:00
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 17:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 16:52
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.03%EV -10.81%E -6.98%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.80%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -12.80%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.91%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -12.80%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -11.30%E -3.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.12%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.72%EV -9.09%E -5.75%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.72%EV -9.09%E -5.75%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 17:00
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 56.87%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 17:00
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.21%EV -17.14%E -11.90%K -38.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.84%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.95%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.39%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -11.96%E -7.82%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -17.39%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -20.46%E -6.20%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.55%EV -10.24%E -6.56%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.69%EV -19.23%E -4.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.13%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-02-22 17:00