La escuela de los momios

Besiktas JK v Goztepe

Inicio: 2026-02-22 17:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Besiktas JK (Local)

Predicción 57.54%1.74momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -4.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.44%57.55%57.58%59.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.611.621.6969.44%62.02%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Goztepe (Visitante)

Predicción 18.36%5.45momio equitativo
EV +1.52%
Ventaja +0.274%
Kelly +0.335%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.80%18.35%18.32%20.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.964.805.5322.73%20.16%20.83%18.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.10%4.15momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.589%
Kelly -0.782%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.43%24.10%24.10%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.813.854.0530.30%26.23%25.97%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.24%E -6.56%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.80%EV +1.52%E +0.274%K +0.335%G +0.005%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 16:59
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.24%E -6.56%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.80%EV +1.52%E +0.274%K +0.335%G +0.005%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.64%EV -5.28%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +0.966%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.25%EV -4.48%E -2.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.58%EV +0.966%E +0.176%K +0.215%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.49%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.68%EV +0.232%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.83%EV -2.39%E -0.589%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 16:59
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.36%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.92%EV -0.686%E -0.127%K -0.156%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.73%EV -5.52%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 16:59
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -0.870%E -0.161%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.62%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.853%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.59%E -0.898%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 16:58
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.62%E -0.690%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 16:59
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.11%EV -4.17%E -0.800%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.61%EV -7.45%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.81%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.11%EV -6.96%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 16:59
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.08%EV -8.51%E -5.35%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:59
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 58.08%EV -8.51%E -5.35%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -5.46%E -1.06%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 16:59
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 16:59
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 16:58
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.21%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 17:00
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 17:00
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.57%EV -5.63%E -3.44%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 16:59
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 56.54%EV -6.21%E -3.81%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 16:52
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -7.36%E -4.57%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 16:59
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.03%EV -10.81%E -6.98%K -19.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -11.88%E -2.48%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.23%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-22 17:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -12.80%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -12.80%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.91%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -12.80%E -2.70%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.28%EV -11.30%E -3.07%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.12%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.00%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 16:59
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.72%EV -9.09%E -5.75%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.72%EV -9.09%E -5.75%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-22 17:00
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 56.87%EV -9.66%E -6.15%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -10.82%E -2.92%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 17:00
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.21%EV -17.14%E -11.90%K -38.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 17.84%EV -13.72%E -2.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.95%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-22 16:59
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -17.39%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.41%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.44%EV -11.96%E -7.82%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.85%EV -17.39%E -3.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.71%EV -20.46%E -6.20%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.9%2026-02-22 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.55%EV -10.24%E -6.56%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.69%EV -19.23%E -4.37%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -15.64%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-22 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.50%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-02-22 17:00
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.13%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-02-22 17:00