The School of Odds

Besiktas JK v Eyüpspor

2026-08-16 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prediction 69.68%1.44fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%69.18%69.69%72.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.331.4178.74%75.53%75.19%70.92%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Eyüpspor (Visit)

Prediction 11.39%8.78fair odd
EV +13.91%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.215%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.69%11.70%11.49%13.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.257.668.0010.0016.00%13.05%12.50%10.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 18.93%5.28fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.309%
Kelly +0.379%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 5.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.99%19.12%18.82%20.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.704.755.3723.81%21.28%21.05%18.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.28%EV -6.63%E -4.95%K -19.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.69%EV +13.91%E +1.39%K +1.55%G +0.215%5.37I 18.62%NM 18.04%EV +1.66%E +0.309%K +0.379%G +0.006%3.2%2026-07-26 19:20
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.21%EV -5.93%E -4.40%K -16.95%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV -0.333%E -0.038%K -0.043%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 16:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.18%E -0.374%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:50
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.20%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -3.18%E -0.374%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 17:34
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -1.56%E -0.300%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 15:50
Codere (IT)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.63%E -4.95%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -9.42%E -7.24%K -31.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 18:45
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -9.42%E -7.24%K -31.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -8.88%E -1.11%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-26 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.54%EV -10.81%E -8.45%K -38.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.35%EV -20.27%E -2.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.11%EV -18.60%E -4.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-26 15:49
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.54%EV -10.81%E -8.45%K -38.61%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.35%EV -20.27%E -2.90%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.11%EV -18.60%E -4.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-26 15:50
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.95%EV -1.75%E -1.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.38%EV -20.84%E -3.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 15:50
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 65.95%EV -1.75%E -1.24%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.38%EV -20.84%E -3.00%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.33%EV -10.11%E -7.84%K -34.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.36%EV -25.96%E -3.99%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-26 15:50
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -9.42%E -7.24%K -31.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -25.96%E -3.99%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -18.03%E -4.16%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 15:49
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 66.42%EV -11.51%E -9.06%K -42.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.50%EV -28.81%E -4.61%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.08%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-26 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:25
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +0.46%NordicBet 1.41 (71.2%) / 1xBet 10.00 (10.0%) / 1xBet 5.37 (18.7%)Show all 2 combinations
Besiktas JK (Local)Eyüpspor (Visit)DrawMargin
NordicBet 1.41 (71.2%)1xBet 10.00 (10.0%)1xBet 5.37 (18.7%)+0.458%
Betsson 1.41 (71.2%)1xBet 10.00 (10.0%)1xBet 5.37 (18.7%)+0.458%