Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Besiktas JK v Eyüpspor

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 18:30 UTC

Final: Besiktas JK 1–0 Eyüpspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prediction 70.81%1.41fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -12.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%70.74%70.84%73.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.301.3580.00%76.39%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Eyüpspor (Visit)

Prediction 11.10%9.01fair odd
EV +13.19%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.189%

assuming max odds 10.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.50%11.12%11.00%12.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.258.0010.2014.29%12.11%12.50%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.09%5.53fair odd
EV +2.59%
Edge +0.458%
Kelly +0.556%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.65%18.14%18.16%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.205.205.6722.22%19.23%19.23%17.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Besiktas JK (Local): 70.81%; Eyüpspor (Visit): 11.10%; Draw: 18.09%. For Eyüpspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.01. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.41%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.50%EV +13.19%E +1.29%K +1.43%G +0.189%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.09%EV +2.59%E +0.458%K +0.556%G +0.014%3.2%2026-08-16 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.52%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV +5.42%E +0.571%K +0.638%G +0.035%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -0.482%E -0.088%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.02%EV +3.20%E +0.344%K +0.386%G +0.012%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -7.72%E -1.51%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.03I 11.07%NM 10.24%EV +0.207%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.20%EV -17.13%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 18:19
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.03I 11.07%NM 10.24%EV +0.207%E +0.023%K +0.026%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.20%EV -17.13%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.89%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -0.126%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -0.126%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -5.01%E -0.953%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -9.36%E -7.32%K -33.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -0.126%E -0.014%K -0.016%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.01%E -0.953%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:19
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.96%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.76%EV -1.24%E -0.139%K -0.156%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.28%EV -5.19%E -0.990%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.55%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.14%EV -5.12%E -0.599%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.55%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.14%EV -5.12%E -0.599%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:05
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.55%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.14%EV -5.12%E -0.599%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.31%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:05
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -5.67%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.482%E -0.088%K -0.107%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -5.67%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.01%E -0.953%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -5.67%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -11.34%E -2.31%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:15
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.67%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.67%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.67%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.67%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.85%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -5.67%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 18:19
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -4.41%E -3.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.44I 11.85%NM 11.26%EV -6.34%E -0.751%K -0.852%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.35%EV -6.27%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.73%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -8.45%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:09
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.73%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -8.45%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.09%EV -11.49%E -9.19%K -45.96%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.77%EV -8.45%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.14%EV -11.34%E -2.31%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 18:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.00%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.52%EV -9.00%E -1.10%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -2.29%E -0.424%K -0.521%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.01%E -0.953%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:04
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.01%E -0.953%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 18:25
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:19
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +1.33%E +0.237%K +0.289%G +0.004%7.3%2026-08-16 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.34%E -2.31%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 18:15
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.85%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -10.43%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -9.36%E -7.32%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.77%E -3.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -11.22%E -1.40%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.58%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.49%EV -7.24%E -5.53%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.75%EV -14.00%E -1.81%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.77%EV -12.24%E -2.52%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 18:03
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.77%E -2.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.53%E -1.91%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 17:54
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -9.36%E -7.32%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -16.77%E -2.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -5.01%E -0.953%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.91%EV -10.78%E -8.56%K -41.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -16.77%E -2.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.91%EV -10.78%E -8.56%K -41.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -16.77%E -2.24%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.58%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.85%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -19.55%E -2.70%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -2.29%E -0.424%K -0.521%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.98%EV -9.36%E -7.32%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -22.32%E -3.19%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -5.91%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 18:05
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -22.32%E -3.19%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -18.58%E -4.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-16 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.87%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.50%0.1%2026-08-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.87%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.50%0.1%2026-08-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.87%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.50%0.1%2026-08-16 18:25
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 71.17%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.45%0.4%2026-08-16 18:25
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 71.00%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.73%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.3%2026-08-16 18:25
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.56%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%2.0%2026-08-16 17:55