The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Besiktas JK v Basaksehir

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 16:00 UTC

Final: Besiktas JK 2–0 Basaksehir

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prediction 68.96%1.45fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -8.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.87%69.06%68.72%71.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.341.4078.13%74.42%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Basaksehir (Visit)

Prediction 13.18%7.58fair odd
EV +2.84%
Edge +0.364%
Kelly +0.418%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 7.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.08%13.21%13.24%14.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.206.987.007.8016.13%14.33%14.29%12.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.85%5.60fair odd
EV +2.66%
Edge +0.463%
Kelly +0.561%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.53%17.72%18.04%18.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.855.165.105.7520.62%19.38%19.61%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Besiktas JK (Local): 68.96%; Basaksehir (Visit): 13.18%; Draw: 17.85%. For Basaksehir (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.58. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.56%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.87%EV -2.43%E -0.329%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +2.66%E +0.463%K +0.561%G +0.015%5.0%2026-10-26 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.56%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.87%EV -2.43%E -0.329%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +2.66%E +0.463%K +0.561%G +0.015%5.0%2026-10-26 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.39%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.08%EV +2.84%E +0.364%K +0.418%G +0.012%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.53%EV +1.77%E +0.311%K +0.377%G +0.007%6.1%2026-10-26 15:54
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.38%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.62%EV +0.730%E +0.096%K +0.110%G +0.001%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.00%EV +1.23%E +0.218%K +0.264%G +0.003%3.7%2026-10-26 15:50
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.65%EV +0.466%E +0.061%K +0.070%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.00%EV +1.23%E +0.218%K +0.264%G +0.003%3.8%2026-10-26 15:54
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.99%EV -9.66%E -7.37%K -31.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.12%E -0.149%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV -0.015%E -0.003%K -0.003%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 15:49
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.12%E -0.149%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 15:50
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -1.80%E -0.327%K -0.400%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.32%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -17.60%E -2.82%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-26 15:40
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.55%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.30%EV +2.18%E +0.281%K +0.323%G +0.007%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.12%E -0.149%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.12%E -0.149%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-26 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 15:40
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.95%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -6.26%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 15:48
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.10%EV -4.83%E -3.50%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -10.34%E -1.52%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 15:40
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.95%EV -5.52%E -4.03%K -14.93%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 12.85%EV -3.09%E -0.421%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.20%EV -7.34%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 06:20
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.55%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.71%EV -0.457%E -0.060%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.74%EV -8.59%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 15:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.38%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.12%E -0.149%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-19 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 15:10
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 15:10
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 15:10
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.03%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -17.60%E -2.82%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.94%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 15:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 14:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -3.45%E -2.47%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -1.12%E -0.149%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 15:22
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.56%EV -2.43%E -0.329%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 15:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -6.21%E -4.57%K -17.26%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-26 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-19 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 15:10
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.84%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 15:22
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -7.59%E -5.67%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV -15.62%E -2.44%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-26 15:36
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -8.28%E -6.23%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-23 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -11.04%E -8.56%K -38.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -11.04%E -8.56%K -38.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.35%E -7.96%K -34.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-26 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.67%EV -6.90%E -5.11%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.29I 13.72%NM 12.72%EV -3.88%E -0.533%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.61%EV -11.08%E -2.23%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-26 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.26%EV -8.97%E -6.80%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -12.51%E -2.55%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -10.35%E -7.96%K -34.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -12.51%E -2.55%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 15:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.76%EV -11.04%E -8.56%K -38.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.14%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.10%EV -12.51%E -2.55%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-26 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.01%EV -11.73%E -9.16%K -41.89%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.04%EV -18.26%E -2.94%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.95%EV -13.41%E -2.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-26 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.26%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-10-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-10-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.11%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%0.5%2026-10-26 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.92%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.54%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.8%2026-10-26 15:50
Smarkets◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.0%2026-10-26 15:50
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-10-26 15:05