A Escola das Odds

Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi SK

Início: 2026-04-11 11:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Basaksehir (Local)

Previsão 59.40%1.68odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -3.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.76%59.48%59.32%61.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.561.571.6568.97%64.01%63.69%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante)

Previsão 18.34%5.45odd justa
EV +0.872%
Vantagem +0.159%
Kelly +0.194%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.78%18.28%18.38%19.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.045.095.5022.22%19.86%19.63%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.26%4.49odd justa
EV -0.071%
Vantagem -0.016%
Kelly -0.020%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.74%22.25%22.30%24.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.084.074.4928.57%24.52%24.54%22.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +0.872%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV +0.872%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -4.30%E -1.000%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:30
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.962%E -0.178%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -12.68%E -8.62%K -26.97%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -0.962%E -0.178%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:30
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -2.80%E -0.528%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:30
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -2.80%E -0.528%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:30
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 11:29
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 11:28
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -13.86%E -9.56%K -30.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 11:30
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.69%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:24
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 11:30
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.78%EV -5.18%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.37%EV -3.41%E -0.785%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 11:29
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.25%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.01%EV -5.18%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.74%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:30
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.25%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.01%EV -5.18%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.74%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:30
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 11:30
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.77%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.56%EV -13.27%E -9.09%K -28.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 11:30
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.93%EV -6.65%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.60%EV -0.738%E -0.166%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 11:29
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -7.38%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.30%E -1.000%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:29
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:29
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:29
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 11:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 11:30
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.78%EV -9.03%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.28%EV -6.97%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 11:29
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 59.91%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.64%EV -9.22%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -4.30%E -1.000%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:29
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -10.13%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:29
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.33%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -10.13%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.27%EV -9.86%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-11 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.97%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.97%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -11.97%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 11:30
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:29
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 11:29
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -13.80%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -13.80%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 11:30
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.02%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -13.80%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-11 11:28
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:29
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -17.47%E -3.88%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.10%E -6.32%K -8.84%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-11 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.14%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06%1.0%2026-04-11 11:30
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32%2.0%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 62.20%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29%4.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 60.72%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%6.9%2026-04-11 11:30