La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Basaksehir (Local)
Predicción 59.40%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.76%59.48%59.32%61.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.561.571.6568.97%64.01%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante)
Predicción 18.34%5.45momio equitativo
EV +0.872%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.194%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.78%18.28%18.38%19.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.045.095.5022.22%19.86%19.63%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.26%4.49momio equitativo
EV -0.071%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.020%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.74%22.25%22.30%24.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.084.074.4928.57%24.52%24.54%22.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +0.872%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV +0.872%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -4.30%E -1.000%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.962%E -0.178%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -12.68%E -8.62%K -26.97%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -0.962%E -0.178%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -2.80%E -0.528%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.58%EV -2.80%E -0.528%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 11:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -13.86%E -9.56%K -30.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -5.55%E -3.49%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.69%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.83%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:24 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.77%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.46%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -4.63%E -0.890%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -1.98%E -1.20%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.78%EV -5.18%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.37%EV -3.41%E -0.785%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.25%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.01%EV -5.18%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 20.74%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.25%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.01%EV -5.18%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 20.74%EV -0.071%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -14.31%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.57%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.56%EV -13.27%E -9.09%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.47%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.93%EV -6.65%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.60%EV -0.738%E -0.166%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.33%E -4.70%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -7.38%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -4.30%E -1.000%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -4.95%E -3.10%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.78%EV -9.03%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.28%EV -6.97%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.91%EV -8.52%E -5.53%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.64%EV -9.22%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -4.30%E -1.000%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -6.14%E -3.89%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -10.13%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.33%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -10.13%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.27%EV -9.86%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.97%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.97%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -11.97%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.11%E -5.96%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -6.52%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -13.80%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.24%EV -6.74%E -4.29%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -13.80%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.02%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.58%EV -13.80%E -2.94%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 11:28 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -4.36%E -2.71%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -17.47%E -3.88%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.10%E -6.32%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.14% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.54% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.38% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.06% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.06% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.20% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.29% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.72% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.78% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 11:30 |