Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Basaksehir v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 15:59 UTC

Final: Basaksehir 2–1 Gazişehir Gaziantep

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Basaksehir (Local)

Prediction 54.22%1.84fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.09%54.21%54.35%55.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.711.8063.69%58.51%58.31%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit)

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.559%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.82%22.66%22.53%24.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.204.5026.67%24.00%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.12%4.32fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.686%
Kelly -0.900%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%23.14%23.12%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.974.004.2027.78%25.18%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Basaksehir (Local): 54.22%; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit): 22.66%; Draw: 23.12%. For Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:24
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:25
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:25
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 15:24
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.51%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.86%EV -0.534%E -0.122%K -0.158%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.63%EV -6.12%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.86%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -0.988%E -0.226%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.04%EV -3.11%E -0.743%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.86%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -0.988%E -0.226%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.04%EV -3.11%E -0.743%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 15:19
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.86%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -0.988%E -0.226%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.04%EV -3.11%E -0.743%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-18 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.26%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.68%EV -1.89%E -0.437%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -9.82%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -11.08%E -6.76%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -2.57%E -0.599%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.97%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -11.08%E -6.76%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -2.57%E -0.599%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.97%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.33%EV -11.08%E -6.76%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -2.57%E -0.599%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.97%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 15:24
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -3.71%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.04%E -0.973%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -11.62%E -7.13%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -3.71%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -10.97%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-18 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.33%EV -12.17%E -7.51%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -3.71%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -12.13%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-18 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.66%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -4.73%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-18 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.88%E -0.686%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 15:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.19%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.83%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.19%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-18 15:50
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.82%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -7.29%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -9.82%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -8.37%E -4.95%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44%EV -4.04%E -0.973%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 15:19
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -7.11%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.19%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 15:45
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.92%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -8.24%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-18 15:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.82%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -8.24%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.32%EV -8.20%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.49%EV -9.45%E -5.66%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.47%EV -8.24%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -8.66%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 15:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:45
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.41%E -1.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.19%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 15:54
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 15:54
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -8.66%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 15:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.13%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.13%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -5.12%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.13%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.83%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -14.44%E -3.90%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-18 15:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -12.17%E -7.51%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 15:23
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -11.62%E -7.13%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.06%EV -10.97%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-18 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.39%EV -14.88%E -9.48%K -26.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.59%EV -10.97%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-18 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.82%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 15:45
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -9.82%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 15:45
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.66%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-18 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.01%EV -10.00%E -6.02%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.29%EV -12.77%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -8.66%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 15:19
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -7.83%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -16.75%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-18 15:46
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -15.04%E -4.01%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.50%E -1.88%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-10-18 15:55
Matchbook◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-10-18 15:50
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.78%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-10-18 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.6%2026-10-18 15:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-10-18 15:55