L’École des cotes

Antalyaspor v Kocaelispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Antalyaspor 1–0 Kocaelispor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Antalyaspor (Local)

Prévision 63.44%1.58cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -4.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%63.48%63.38%66.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.451.5473.53%69.13%68.97%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kocaelispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.10%7.09cote équitable
EV +5.76%
Avantage +0.768%
Kelly +0.886%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.58%14.19%14.20%15.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.806.676.607.5017.24%15.00%15.15%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.45%4.45cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.232%
Kelly +0.298%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.92%22.33%22.41%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.194.204.5027.78%23.89%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.91%E -6.98%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +5.76%E +0.768%K +0.886%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV +1.04%E +0.232%K +0.298%G +0.003%6.0%2026-05-17 14:24
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.91%E -6.98%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +5.76%E +0.768%K +0.886%G +0.051%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV +1.04%E +0.232%K +0.298%G +0.003%6.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.72%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.71%G +0.000%7.34I 13.62%NM 13.05%EV +3.51%E +0.478%K +0.553%G +0.019%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.23%EV -3.22%E -0.748%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -2.77%E -0.640%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:24
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:24
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -9.27%E -6.49%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:24
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -11.18%E -7.98%K -27.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 14:25
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -12.45%E -9.02%K -32.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 14:24
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.04%EV -13.72%E -10.09%K -38.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.04%EV -13.72%E -10.09%K -38.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.04%EV -13.72%E -10.09%K -38.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 14:25
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.99%EV -2.30%E -1.49%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.24%EV -3.97%E -0.583%K -0.683%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV -4.34%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 10:15
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.74%E -4.58%K -14.33%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -4.81%E -0.713%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 63.58%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.81%E -0.713%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:04
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 63.58%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.81%E -0.713%K -0.837%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.73%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.07%EV -6.93%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 14:24
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.25%EV -2.93%E -1.92%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.52%EV -7.49%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 16:14
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.01%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -7.64%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:15
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 14:24
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 08:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 10:15
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.18%E -7.98%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.49%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.52%EV -9.61%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 14:24
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.49%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.52%EV -9.61%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -9.75%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -9.75%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:15
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -4.20%E -2.78%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -12.57%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 14:25
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.46%EV -11.18%E -7.98%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.33%EV -12.57%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -13.98%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.39%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:23
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.39%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.39%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.18%E -7.98%K -27.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.39%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -19.16%E -5.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-17 10:15
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -16.80%E -2.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 14:24
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -18.21%E -3.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.90%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.81%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40