La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Antalyaspor v Kocaelispor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Antalyaspor (Local)
Predicción 63.44%1.58momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%63.48%63.38%66.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5473.53%69.13%68.97%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kocaelispor (Visitante)
Predicción 14.10%7.09momio equitativo
EV +5.76%
Ventaja +0.768%
Kelly +0.886%
Crecimiento +0.051%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.58%14.19%14.20%15.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.806.676.607.5017.24%15.00%15.15%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.45%4.45momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.232%
Kelly +0.298%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.92%22.33%22.41%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.194.204.5027.78%23.89%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.91%E -6.98%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +5.76%E +0.768%K +0.886%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV +1.04%E +0.232%K +0.298%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -9.91%E -6.98%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV +5.76%E +0.768%K +0.886%G +0.051% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV +1.04%E +0.232%K +0.298%G +0.003% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.72%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 7.34I 13.62%NM 13.05%EV +3.51%E +0.478%K +0.553%G +0.019% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.23%EV -3.22%E -0.748%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.64%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%EV -2.77%E -0.640%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.07%EV -9.27%E -6.49%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -10.54%E -7.48%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -11.18%E -7.98%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -12.45%E -9.02%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.04%EV -13.72%E -10.09%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.04%EV -13.72%E -10.09%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.04%EV -13.72%E -10.09%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.83%EV -1.29%E -0.184%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.99%EV -2.30%E -1.49%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.24%EV -3.97%E -0.583%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.77%EV -4.34%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.08%EV -6.74%E -4.58%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -4.81%E -0.713%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.58%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.81%E -0.713%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 10:04 |
| BetUS | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.58%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -4.81%E -0.713%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.76%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.73%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.07%EV -6.93%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.25%EV -2.93%E -1.92%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.52%EV -7.49%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 16:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.01%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.24%EV -7.64%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -11.18%E -7.98%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -8.34%E -1.28%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.49%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.52%EV -9.61%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.49%EV -5.47%E -3.67%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.52%EV -9.61%E -1.50%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -9.06%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -9.75%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.49%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.65%EV -9.75%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.38%EV -4.20%E -2.78%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.19%EV -12.57%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.46%EV -11.18%E -7.98%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.33%EV -12.57%E -2.03%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.84%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.94%EV -13.98%E -2.29%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -15.39%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 14:23 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.83%E -3.22%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -15.39%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.39%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -11.18%E -7.98%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.39%E -2.57%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -19.16%E -5.32%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-17 10:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.01%E -5.52%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.60%EV -16.80%E -2.85%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.20%E -0.273%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-17 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.64%E -6.00%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -18.21%E -3.14%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 16:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.29% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.90% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.81% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.65% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.37% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |