Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Antalyaspor v Fenerbahce

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 17:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Antalyaspor (Local)

Prediction 15.63%6.40fair odd
EV +9.42%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.148%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.46%15.58%15.64%17.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.256.056.007.0019.05%16.53%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fenerbahce (Visit)

Prediction 61.71%1.62fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -6.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%61.71%61.72%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.481.491.5674.63%67.47%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -0.307%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.090%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.39%22.71%22.64%24.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.114.204.4028.17%24.32%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Antalyaspor (Local): 15.63%; Fenerbahce (Visit): 61.71%; Draw: 22.66%. For Antalyaspor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.40. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV +9.42%E +1.35%K +1.57%G +0.148%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.10%EV -9.28%E -6.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:00
1xBet🎯6.85I 14.60%NM 14.12%EV +7.07%E +1.03%K +1.21%G +0.086%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.40%EV -4.35%E -2.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.48%EV -6.65%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV +1.60%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV +1.60%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.70%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 17:00
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +1.60%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.67%E -5.86%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:00
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV +1.60%E +0.247%K +0.291%G +0.005%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -9.28%E -6.32%K -19.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 17:00
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +0.040%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +0.040%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +0.040%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:00
TABtouch🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +0.040%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +0.040%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Casumo🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +0.040%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Grosvenor🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +0.040%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:00
betPARX🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +0.040%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -10.52%E -7.25%K -23.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -2.30%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -4.35%E -2.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -0.307%E -0.070%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV -2.30%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.49%EV -4.35%E -2.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%EV -0.307%E -0.070%K -0.090%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 17:00
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -2.30%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 16:59
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -2.30%E -0.369%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.89%EV -11.14%E -7.73%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 16:53
Pinnacle🎯6.24I 16.03%NM 15.48%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.91%EV -3.73%E -2.39%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.62%EV -3.25%E -0.762%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-01 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -4.65%E -0.762%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.82%EV -12.99%E -9.21%K -31.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -4.65%E -0.762%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.82%EV -12.99%E -9.21%K -31.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 17:00
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -4.65%E -0.762%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.82%EV -12.99%E -9.21%K -31.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.20%E -4.08%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:59
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 16:59
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 16:59
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.14%E -7.73%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 17:00
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -11.14%E -7.73%K -25.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -15.03%E -4.01%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -6.21%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -13.60%E -9.72%K -34.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -18.43%E -5.12%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-01 17:00
NordicBet🎯5.99I 16.69%NM 15.53%EV -6.37%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.43%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.04%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:59
GTbets🎯5.96I 16.78%NM 15.83%EV -6.84%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -4.96%E -3.22%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.90%EV -6.65%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 16:59
BetUS🎯5.95I 16.81%NM 15.73%EV -6.99%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.98%EV -6.82%E -4.51%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 16:59
Betsson🎯5.92I 16.89%NM 15.72%EV -7.46%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.26%EV -5.29%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -7.78%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.74%EV -6.82%E -4.51%K -13.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 14.20%EV -7.78%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 62.53%EV -17.31%E -12.92%K -50.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.27%EV -18.43%E -5.12%K -7.09%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-01 17:00
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.35%E -2.80%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -1.89%E -0.437%K -0.568%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 17:00
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:00
Neds🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 17:00
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-01 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -12.47%E -2.23%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -11.14%E -7.73%K -25.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.63%EV -12.47%E -2.23%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.64%EV -12.37%E -8.71%K -29.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -12.77%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-01 17:00
Fliff🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 15.63%EV -13.25%E -2.39%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.53%EV -12.99%E -9.21%K -31.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-01 17:00
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.43%E -4.96%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.16%EV -9.90%E -6.78%K -21.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 16:58
Winamax (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 59.64%EV -9.90%E -6.78%K -21.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -19.57%E -5.51%K -7.67%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -15.59%E -2.89%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.32%EV -8.05%E -5.40%K -16.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 16:59
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -17.94%E -3.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -5.58%E -3.65%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-03-01 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-03-01 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-03-01 17:00
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-03-01 17:00
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.59%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-03-01 17:00