L’École des cotes

Antalyaspor v Alanyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Score final : Antalyaspor 0–0 Alanyaspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Antalyaspor (Local)

Prévision 34.30%2.92cote équitable
EV +4.28%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +2.10%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.57%34.09%34.39%36.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.762.753.0439.22%36.26%36.36%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alanyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.40%2.75cote équitable
EV +3.73%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +2.02%
Croissance +0.075%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.02%36.62%36.39%40.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.482.502.8543.86%40.33%40.00%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.30%3.41cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -0.785%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.87%29.29%29.21%30.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.193.203.3535.71%31.39%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.57%EV +4.28%E +1.41%K +2.10%G +0.090%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.58%EV -16.65%E -7.27%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.86%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 00:00
Betsson3.04I 32.89%NM 30.57%EV +4.28%E +1.41%K +2.10%G +0.090%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.58%EV -16.65%E -7.27%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.86%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -13.37%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:20
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -13.37%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 16:20
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -2.24%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%EV -1.73%E -0.639%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.10%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-03 16:45
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -2.24%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -15.19%E -6.52%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:20
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 16:41
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:40
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 16:40
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:39
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:35
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -17.01%E -7.46%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -17.01%E -7.46%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 10:40
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -17.01%E -7.46%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-03 10:40
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 15:49
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 33.99%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -6.82%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -7.12%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:45
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:41
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 16:55
Marathon Bet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.36%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 16:55
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -7.04%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV +3.73%E +1.31%K +2.02%G +0.075%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.20%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-03 16:54
Bovada2.71I 36.90%NM 34.03%EV -7.04%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.74%EV -6.09%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -10.63%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 16:53
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:51
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 15:45
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 16:40
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.16%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.61%EV -5.73%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -10.63%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 16:55
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 16:41
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 16:35
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.82%EV -10.10%E -4.09%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:35
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.96%E -6.41%K -9.98%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-03 16:55
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:45
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:45
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 15:21
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.73%E -0.639%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 15:44
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.24%EV -11.92%E -4.92%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -14.44%E -4.95%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 16:45
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -12.53%E -4.91%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 15:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-05-03 16:56
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.6%2026-05-03 16:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.6%2026-05-03 16:45
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.56%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-05-03 16:55
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07%3.0%2026-05-03 15:00