La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Antalyaspor v Alanyaspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Antalyaspor (Local)
Predicción 34.30%2.92momio equitativo
EV +4.28%
Ventaja +1.41%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%34.09%34.39%36.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.762.753.0439.22%36.26%36.36%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alanyaspor (Visitante)
Predicción 36.40%2.75momio equitativo
EV +3.73%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +2.02%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.02%36.62%36.39%40.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.482.502.8543.86%40.33%40.00%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.30%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.551%
Kelly -0.785%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.87%29.29%29.21%30.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.193.203.3535.71%31.39%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.57%EV +4.28%E +1.41%K +2.10%G +0.090% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.58%EV -16.65%E -7.27%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.86%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Betsson | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.57%EV +4.28%E +1.41%K +2.10%G +0.090% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.58%EV -16.65%E -7.27%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.86%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -13.37%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -0.524%E -0.181%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -13.37%E -5.62%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -1.21%E -0.420%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -14.47%E -6.16%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -1.84%E -0.551%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.01%EV -2.24%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%EV -1.73%E -0.639%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.10%EV -5.65%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.40%EV -2.24%E -0.786%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.63%EV -15.19%E -6.52%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| Coral | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -3.91%E -1.48%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:39 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -17.01%E -7.46%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -17.01%E -7.46%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -17.01%E -7.46%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-03 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.31%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 15:49 |
| GTbets | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.99%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.52%EV -6.82%E -2.66%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -7.12%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.19%E -2.82%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.36%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -7.04%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.02%EV +3.73%E +1.31%K +2.02%G +0.075% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.20%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Bovada | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.03%EV -7.04%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.74%EV -6.09%E -2.36%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -10.63%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 16:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.37%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| BetUS | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.16%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.61%EV -5.73%E -2.21%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -10.63%E -3.49%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.38%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.82%EV -10.10%E -4.09%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.49%EV -12.65%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -16.29%E -7.08%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -17.96%E -6.41%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.10%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.13%E -3.87%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.17%E -2.96%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 15:21 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.73%E -0.639%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.01%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.24%E -1.95%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 15:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -10.81%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.24%EV -11.92%E -4.92%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -14.44%E -4.95%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -12.53%E -4.91%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.83%E -4.42%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -7.70%E -2.45%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-03 15:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| Matchbook | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.59% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.56% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.96% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.97% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.07% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 15:00 |