Language:English
Alanyaspor v Erzurum BB
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alanyaspor (Local)
Prediction 46.80%2.14fair odd
EV -4.06%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.49%46.92%46.74%49.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.972.002.0554.64%50.70%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Erzurum BB (Visit)
Prediction 24.59%4.07fair odd
EV +5.72%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.099%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.73%24.52%24.60%25.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.804.3030.30%26.58%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.62%3.49fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.454%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.82%28.56%28.67%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4433.33%31.13%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alanyaspor (Local): 46.80%; Erzurum BB (Visit): 24.59%; Draw: 28.62%. For Erzurum BB (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -12.49%E -6.68%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV +5.72%E +1.33%K +1.73%G +0.099% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.25%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.59%EV -3.13%E -0.795%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.16%EV -1.56%E -0.454%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-24 01:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.37%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -4.12%E -1.06%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -5.00%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.82%EV -5.34%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -2.71%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.76%EV -5.47%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.34%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.71%EV -5.85%E -1.78%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.71%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-24 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.22%EV -6.87%E -3.45%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -4.14%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-23 23:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.57%EV -5.94%E -2.95%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -7.34%E -3.71%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 04:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-23 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.94%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.72%EV -7.86%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-04 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.94%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.72%EV -7.86%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -7.34%E -3.71%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.57%E -1.73%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 20:22 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.21%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.60%EV -7.07%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-24 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.02%EV -7.81%E -3.96%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.57%EV -7.31%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -6.71%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 04:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-23 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -9.21%E -4.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.80%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.03%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.60%EV -9.21%E -4.75%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.03%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.97%EV -10.72%E -3.44%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-01 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -9.68%E -5.02%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -9.03%E -2.44%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -7.34%E -3.71%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.26%E -2.81%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 13:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -12.02%E -6.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-05 15:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -14.36%E -7.85%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -11.49%E -3.19%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-04 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.60%EV -12.02%E -6.39%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -12.72%E -3.58%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.72%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-25 13:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -10.15%E -5.29%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.95%E -3.99%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -10.62%E -5.56%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -16.41%E -4.83%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-24 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.06%EV -13.89%E -7.55%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.68%EV -18.87%E -5.72%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.78% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.78% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.78% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14% | 12.5% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.26% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 29.74% | 14.4% | 2026-10-05 14:00 |