Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Servette v FC Zurich

2026-11-08 15:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Servette (Local)

Prediction 56.53%1.77fair odd
EV -5.03%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -7.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.65%56.53%57.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.621.6864.94%61.98%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Zurich (Visit)

Prediction 20.82%4.80fair odd
EV -5.46%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%20.93%20.82%22.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.284.334.5425.97%23.36%23.09%22.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -0.797%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%22.43%22.64%22.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.094.104.3025.97%24.42%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Servette (Local): 56.53%; FC Zurich (Visit): 20.82%; Draw: 22.64%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.30, with an expected value of -2.63%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.50%EV -5.03%E -2.99%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.91%EV -5.46%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.89%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 18:29
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.72%E -4.08%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.29%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -2.63%E -0.611%K -0.797%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.54%E -2.98%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.99%EV -8.42%E -5.20%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -11.50%E -2.70%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -8.99%E -5.58%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -8.37%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 18:59
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -9.55%E -5.97%K -15.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -9.83%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -4.89%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-01 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -10.68%E -6.76%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -17.74%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -9.42%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 16:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.56%EV -12.94%E -8.40%K -23.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -19.83%E -5.15%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -12.82%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.