L’École des cotes

Servette v FC Winterthur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Servette (Local)

Prévision 67.81%1.47cote équitable
EV -5.06%
Avantage -3.61%
Kelly -12.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.25%67.83%67.67%69.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.351.341.4077.52%74.24%74.63%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Winterthur (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.18%7.05cote équitable
EV +6.34%
Avantage +0.845%
Kelly +0.975%
Croissance +0.062%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.65%14.16%14.40%16.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.556.507.5019.23%15.27%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.01%5.55cote équitable
EV -0.959%
Avantage -0.174%
Kelly -0.213%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.11%18.01%17.94%20.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.985.005.5023.09%20.06%20.00%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.27%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +6.34%E +0.845%K +0.975%G +0.062%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:01
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.45%E -6.26%K -24.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:01
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:59
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -2.76%E -0.511%K -0.627%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 19:58
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:33
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:34
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:34
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 20:01
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 10:25
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 02:34
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:35
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:35
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 20:01
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:59
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.42%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:05
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.38%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.30%E -0.636%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.74%EV -4.92%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 09:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.06%E -3.61%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 13:09
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -6.42%E -4.65%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:34
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 08:55
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 08:54
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 08:55
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.03%E -5.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-21 10:24
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -5.06%E -3.61%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.61%EV -8.12%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.76%EV -4.02%E -0.754%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:00
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.41%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -10.68%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.26%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 17:04
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.41%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -10.68%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.26%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 17:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.62%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -11.38%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 14:35
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 67.37%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -12.09%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -6.36%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 67.37%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -12.09%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -6.36%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:19
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.06%E -3.61%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -0.959%E -0.174%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:50
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.65%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:00
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.65%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:05
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -6.42%E -4.65%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -17.17%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 14:59
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:10
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.06%EV -11.16%E -8.52%K -36.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.64%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.23%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.65%EV -12.52%E -9.71%K -43.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.81%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 23:50
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.17%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -18.47%E -3.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -14.46%E -3.05%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.64%EV -19.18%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 17:05
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -22.02%E -4.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -14.46%E -3.05%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 08:55
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.25%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.31%EV -26.27%E -5.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.44%EV -17.17%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-21 17:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-23 15:00
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.79%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.96%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20