La escuela de los momios

Servette v FC Winterthur

Inicio: 2026-04-26 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Servette (Local)

Predicción 67.81%1.47momio equitativo
EV -5.06%
Ventaja -3.61%
Kelly -12.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.25%67.83%67.67%69.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.351.341.4077.52%74.24%74.63%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Winterthur (Visitante)

Predicción 14.18%7.05momio equitativo
EV +6.34%
Ventaja +0.845%
Kelly +0.975%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.65%14.16%14.40%16.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.206.556.507.5019.23%15.27%15.38%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.01%5.55momio equitativo
EV -0.959%
Ventaja -0.174%
Kelly -0.213%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.11%18.01%17.94%20.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.985.005.5023.09%20.06%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.27%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +6.34%E +0.845%K +0.975%G +0.062%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:01
PointsBet (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.45%E -6.26%K -24.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:01
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:59
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -2.76%E -0.511%K -0.627%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 19:58
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:33
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:34
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:34
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 20:01
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 10:25
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 02:34
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:35
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:35
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 20:01
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -0.751%E -0.107%K -0.125%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 19:59
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.97I 14.35%NM 13.42%EV -1.18%E -0.169%K -0.197%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 15:05
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 68.38%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.30%E -0.636%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.74%EV -4.92%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 09:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.06%E -3.61%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 13:09
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -6.42%E -4.65%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 14:34
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.46%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 08:55
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 08:54
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 08:55
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -7.84%E -1.21%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -22.03%E -5.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-21 10:24
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 67.63%EV -5.06%E -3.61%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.61%EV -8.12%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.76%EV -4.02%E -0.754%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:00
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.41%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -10.68%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.26%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 17:04
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.41%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.66%EV -10.68%E -1.69%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.26%E -1.41%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 17:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.62%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.07%EV -11.38%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 14:35
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 67.37%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -12.09%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -6.36%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 67.37%EV -7.09%E -5.18%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.89%EV -12.09%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -6.36%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:19
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.06%E -3.61%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -0.959%E -0.174%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:50
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.65%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:00
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.64%EV -6.42%E -4.65%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -8.16%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:05
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.36%EV -6.42%E -4.65%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.03%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -17.17%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 14:59
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.23%EV -7.77%E -5.72%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.76%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 13:10
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.06%EV -11.16%E -8.52%K -36.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.64%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.23%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.21%EV -13.56%E -2.83%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 17:05
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.65%EV -12.52%E -9.71%K -43.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.54%EV -14.93%E -2.49%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.81%EV -11.76%E -2.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-23 23:50
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 66.17%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -18.47%E -3.21%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -14.46%E -3.05%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.53%EV -9.13%E -6.81%K -26.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.64%EV -19.18%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -9.96%E -1.99%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 17:05
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 65.71%EV -9.81%E -7.37%K -29.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -22.02%E -4.00%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -14.46%E -3.05%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 08:55
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.25%EV -11.84%E -9.11%K -39.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.31%EV -26.27%E -5.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.44%EV -17.17%E -3.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-21 17:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-23 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-23 15:00
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.79%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.96%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%5.4%2026-04-23 15:20