Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Servette v FC St Gallen

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 17:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Servette (Local)

Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.23%42.90%42.83%44.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.132.122.2551.28%47.03%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC St Gallen (Visit)

Prediction 30.78%3.25fair odd
EV -0.271%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.121%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.41%30.75%30.83%32.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.903.2437.04%33.99%34.48%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.33%3.80fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.554%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.36%26.34%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.453.7433.33%28.96%28.99%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Servette (Local): 42.89%; FC St Gallen (Visit): 30.78%; Draw: 26.33%. For FC St Gallen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.24, with an expected value of -0.271%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:59
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -3.96%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -1.52%E -0.406%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.32%EV -4.36%E -1.96%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.20%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -0.271%E -0.084%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.57%E -0.695%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -0.271%E -0.084%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.57%E -0.695%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -0.271%E -0.084%K -0.121%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.57%E -0.695%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 16:59
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.90%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.25%EV -7.04%E -2.33%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -3.89%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -3.04%E -0.965%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 16:59
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.00%EV -6.93%E -3.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.49%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.31%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 16:59
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -6.93%E -3.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:00
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -6.93%E -3.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 16:51
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -6.93%E -3.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -6.93%E -3.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -6.93%E -3.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:00
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -6.93%E -3.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.07%EV -6.93%E -3.20%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:00
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.57%E -0.695%K -0.952%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 17:00
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 17:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -8.22%E -3.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 16:57
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.01%EV -8.22%E -3.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.55%EV -12.28%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -12.28%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -12.28%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.40%EV -9.08%E -4.28%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -12.28%E -4.31%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 17:00
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.57%E -0.695%K -0.952%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 17:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 17:00
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 16:59
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -5.20%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 17:00
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 16:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 16:59
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 16:59
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -9.94%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -16.89%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -13.10%E -3.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.31%EV -10.79%E -5.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -13.81%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -11.79%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-21 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -12.08%E -5.89%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -11.79%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-21 17:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.08%E -5.89%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -14.23%E -7.11%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.84%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 17:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -14.23%E -7.11%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.81%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -14.23%E -7.11%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.81%E -4.93%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.23%E -7.11%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.35%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -21.00%E -7.00%K -10.50%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-21 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.45%EV -15.08%E -7.62%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.67%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.88%EV -15.74%E -4.92%K -7.15%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-21 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.77%EV -16.37%E -8.39%K -17.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.33%EV -15.35%E -5.58%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.90%EV -18.37%E -5.93%K -8.75%G +0.000%19.9%2026-02-21 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-02-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-02-21 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.87%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-02-21 17:00
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.75%2.2%2026-02-21 17:00
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 41.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.69%3.8%2026-02-21 17:00