L’École des cotes

Servette v FC Sion

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Servette (Local)

Prévision 45.82%2.18cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.25%45.88%45.83%47.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.002.002.1055.56%49.95%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Sion (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.23%3.81cote équitable
EV +2.32%
Avantage +0.594%
Kelly +0.798%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.52%26.17%26.24%27.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.463.403.9031.25%28.92%29.41%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.94%3.58cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%27.96%27.94%29.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.303.4534.72%30.66%30.30%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV +2.32%E +0.594%K +0.798%G +0.018%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV +2.32%E +0.594%K +0.798%G +0.018%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:29
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.54%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.41%EV -0.046%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -9.27%E -4.68%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -1.62%E -0.432%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:29
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.93%E -0.792%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:29
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -8.81%E -4.43%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -3.46%E -0.939%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -5.55%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:29
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -4.24%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.97%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:29
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.03%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.23%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:28
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.77%E -1.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:28
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:30
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 46.39%EV -8.81%E -4.43%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 19:29
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 46.39%EV -8.81%E -4.43%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 19:29
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.73%E -4.94%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 19:29
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 19:29
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.87%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 19:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 19:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 19:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:28
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:29
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 19:29
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 19:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.27%E -4.68%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.02%EV -11.10%E -5.72%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -10.02%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 19:29
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 19:29
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:21
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.02%EV -12.02%E -6.26%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 19:29
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 19:30
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 19:29
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.69%EV -12.94%E -6.81%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 19:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.74%E -4.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.84%EV -12.02%E -6.26%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 19:29
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 45.99%EV -17.52%E -9.73%K -21.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.54%EV -18.97%E -6.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%20.8%2026-02-28 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -12.48%E -6.53%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -16.05%E -5.02%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.53%E -6.78%K -10.39%G +0.000%18.3%2026-02-28 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-02-28 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-02-28 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-02-28 19:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-02-28 19:29
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-02-28 19:30