La escuela de los momios

Servette v FC Sion

Inicio: 2026-02-28 19:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Servette (Local)

Predicción 45.82%2.18momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.25%45.88%45.83%47.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.002.002.1055.56%49.95%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Sion (Visitante)

Predicción 26.23%3.81momio equitativo
EV +2.32%
Ventaja +0.594%
Kelly +0.798%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.52%26.17%26.24%27.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.463.403.9031.25%28.92%29.41%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.94%3.58momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%27.96%27.94%29.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.303.4534.72%30.66%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV +2.32%E +0.594%K +0.798%G +0.018%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.35%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV +2.32%E +0.594%K +0.798%G +0.018%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.13%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 19:29
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.54%EV -4.69%E -2.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.41%EV -0.046%E -0.012%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -3.60%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 19:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -9.27%E -4.68%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -1.62%E -0.432%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:29
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -2.93%E -0.792%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:29
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -8.81%E -4.43%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.39%EV -3.46%E -0.939%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -5.55%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 19:29
GTbets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -6.52%E -3.20%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -4.24%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.97%EV -5.83%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 19:29
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.16%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.76%EV -5.03%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.23%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 19:28
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -3.77%E -1.80%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 19:28
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 19:30
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 46.39%EV -8.81%E -4.43%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 19:29
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 46.39%EV -8.81%E -4.43%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 19:29
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.73%E -4.94%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 19:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 19:29
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -5.55%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 19:29
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.87%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 19:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 19:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 19:29
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.00%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 19:28
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:29
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 19:29
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 19:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -9.27%E -4.68%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.02%EV -11.10%E -5.72%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.73%EV -10.02%E -3.11%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 19:29
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -10.80%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 19:29
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:21
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:29
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -6.06%E -2.96%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 19:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.14%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.02%EV -12.02%E -6.26%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -12.11%E -3.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 19:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -7.44%E -3.68%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.79%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 19:29
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-28 19:30
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 19:29
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -10.65%E -5.46%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.69%EV -12.94%E -6.81%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -13.43%E -4.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.38%E -4.32%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 19:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.35%E -4.18%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.74%E -4.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.84%EV -12.02%E -6.26%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -14.74%E -4.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.08%EV -9.19%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 19:29
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 45.99%EV -17.52%E -9.73%K -21.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.47%EV -14.74%E -4.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.54%EV -18.97%E -6.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%20.8%2026-02-28 19:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -12.48%E -6.53%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -16.05%E -5.02%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.53%E -6.78%K -10.39%G +0.000%18.3%2026-02-28 19:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-02-28 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.33%0.8%2026-02-28 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-02-28 19:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-02-28 19:29
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-02-28 19:30