Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Servette v FC Sion

2026-10-10 16:00 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Servette (Local)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.44%37.30%37.36%38.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.452.6043.48%41.09%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Sion (Visit)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.59%38.12%38.20%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.402.5144.44%42.11%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.56%4.07fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%24.58%24.45%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.433.693.733.9029.15%27.12%26.85%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Servette (Local): 37.31%; FC Sion (Visit): 38.14%; Draw: 24.56%. For Servette (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -3.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -3.00%E -1.15%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.95%EV -4.28%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -7.91%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 11:19
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -7.71%E -3.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.35%EV -6.19%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 12:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.21%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -7.71%E -3.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.35%EV -6.19%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 12:18
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -6.73%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.14%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 07:24
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.57%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.23%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 11:14
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 11:14
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 11:14
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.59%EV -7.71%E -3.19%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.60%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-22 07:24
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.72%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -11.60%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -10.46%E -4.36%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.24%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.68%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 11:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 36.44%EV -11.58%E -4.89%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.38%EV -14.19%E -6.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.18%EV -15.77%E -4.60%K -6.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-22 07:23
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -12.33%E -5.25%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.20%EV -12.29%E -5.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.60%E -3.22%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-22 07:24
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.19%E -6.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -14.05%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-22 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -14.19%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.19%E -6.31%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -14.05%E -4.01%K -5.62%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-22 07:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.