The School of Odds

Servette v FC Basel

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Servette (Local)

Prediction 48.85%2.05fair odd
EV +16.26%
Edge +6.83%
Kelly +11.78%
Growth +1.92%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.19%48.44%48.83%50.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.791.901.912.3856%53%52%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Basel (Visit)

Prediction 26.96%3.71fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.291%
Kelly +0.397%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.32%27.38%26.98%35.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.603.403.403.7538%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.19%4.13fair odd
EV -0.810%
Edge -0.198%
Kelly -0.261%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.81%24.17%24.20%25.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.744.1029%27%27%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV +16.26%E +6.83%K +11.78%G +1.92%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -29.91%E -11.50%K -18.69%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.94%EV -9.52%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 00:09
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.21%EV -1.32%E -0.656%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -4.84%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 15:40
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 15:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -4.74%E -2.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -0.810%E -0.198%K -0.261%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 15:55
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.59%EV -5.23%E -2.70%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:40
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.80%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -2.14%E -0.590%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -2.02%E -0.499%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 15:51
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -5.72%E -2.96%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 15:40
BetRivers1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:34
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.21%E -3.23%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:35
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV +1.09%E +0.291%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 15:55
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV +1.09%E +0.291%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 15:55
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV +1.09%E +0.291%K +0.397%G +0.004%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 15:53
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.30%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 15:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 15:55
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 15:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 15:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 15:34
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:55
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -15.33%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 15:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -6.70%E -3.51%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -25.87%E -9.41%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-25 15:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 15:40
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 15:40
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 15:45
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.19%E -3.78%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 15:45
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.89%EV -2.68%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.66%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.58%EV -7.67%E -4.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 15:35
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 15:55
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 15:40
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.70%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:35
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -11.70%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-25 15:35
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -8.16%E -4.34%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 15:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -8.65%E -4.63%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -0.255%E -0.069%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:45
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -9.63%E -5.20%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -2.95%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 15:46
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -9.63%E -5.20%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 15:55
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.63%E -5.20%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 15:49
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.63%E -5.20%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 15:45
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.63%E -5.20%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.73%EV -9.63%E -5.20%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 15:40
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 15:45
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 15:45
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.61%E -5.80%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 15:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.16%EV -11.09%E -6.10%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -15.08%E -4.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -11.70%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.62%EV -11.09%E -6.10%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.42%EV -14.12%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-25 15:53
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 49.76%EV -12.56%E -7.02%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.35%EV -8.88%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.88%EV -9.76%E -2.62%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-25 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-07-25 15:55
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-07-25 15:55