Servette v FC Basel

2026-07-25 16:00 — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Servette (Local)

Odds

2.5040.00%Min

2.6737.45%Mean

2.7037.04%Median

2.8035.71%Max

Consensus probabilities

33.18%3.014Min

34.68%2.883Max

33.90%2.950Mean

33.72%2.965Median

33.81%2.958IQM

33.95%2.945Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.80 under the IQM model: 33.81%

EV -5.33%Edge -1.90%Kelly -2.96%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: FC Basel (Visit)

Odds

2.0050.00%Min

2.1845.89%Mean

2.2045.45%Median

2.3043.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.42%2.474Min

42.29%2.365Max

41.42%2.414Mean

41.25%2.424Median

41.36%2.418IQM

41.45%2.412Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 41.36%

EV -4.86%Edge -2.11%Kelly -3.74%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.4029.41%Min

3.6827.19%Mean

3.6527.40%Median

4.0025.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

23.26%4.300Min

25.47%3.926Max

24.68%4.051Mean

25.03%3.995Median

24.82%4.028IQM

24.60%4.066Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.82%

EV -0.704%Edge -0.176%Kelly -0.235%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Servette (Local) ▼	FC Basel (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Codere (IT)	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.20%EV -5.33% E -1.90% K -2.96% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 41.68%EV -7.76% E -3.48% K -6.31% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.12%EV -8.15% E -2.20% K -3.02% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-30 16:20
1xBet	2.79I 35.84% NM 33.60%EV -5.66% E -2.03% K -3.16% G +0.000%	2.29I 43.67% NM 40.93%EV -5.28% E -2.30% K -4.09% G +0.000%	3.68I 27.17% NM 25.47%EV -8.65% E -2.35% K -3.23% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 23:05
Marathon Bet	2.78I 35.97% NM 33.56%EV -6.00% E -2.16% K -3.37% G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05% NM 41.09%EV -6.10% E -2.69% K -4.81% G +0.000%	3.68I 27.17% NM 25.35%EV -8.65% E -2.35% K -3.23% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-04 23:05
NordicBet	2.78I 35.97% NM 33.18%EV -6.00% E -2.16% K -3.37% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 41.55%EV -8.17% E -3.68% K -6.70% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 25.27%EV -9.39% E -2.57% K -3.54% G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-30 18:49
Betsson	2.78I 35.97% NM 33.18%EV -6.00% E -2.16% K -3.37% G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05% NM 41.55%EV -8.17% E -3.68% K -6.70% G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40% NM 25.27%EV -9.39% E -2.57% K -3.54% G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-30 18:49
Coolbet	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.68%EV -7.02% E -2.55% K -4.01% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.47%EV -4.86% E -2.11% K -3.74% G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00% NM 23.85%EV -0.704% E -0.176% K -0.235% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-04 16:40
FanDuel	2.70I 37.04% NM 34.46%EV -8.71% E -3.22% K -5.12% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.29%EV -9.00% E -4.09% K -7.50% G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00% NM 23.26%EV -0.704% E -0.176% K -0.235% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-04 16:38
LeoVegas	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.34%EV -8.71% E -3.22% K -5.12% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.30%EV -9.83% E -4.51% K -8.33% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -11.87% E -3.35% K -4.66% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-02 10:19
SportsBet	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.54%EV -10.40% E -3.92% K -6.30% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 41.99%EV -9.83% E -4.51% K -8.33% G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64% NM 23.47%EV -3.19% E -0.817% K -1.10% G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-04 16:40
Fanatics	2.65I 37.74% NM 34.32%EV -10.40% E -3.92% K -6.30% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.42%EV -6.93% E -3.08% K -5.54% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.26%EV -10.63% E -2.95% K -4.09% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-04 17:00
Paddy Power	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.39%EV -11.41% E -4.36% K -7.04% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 41.90%EV -11.07% E -5.15% K -9.62% G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32% NM 23.71%EV -5.67% E -1.49% K -2.02% G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-04 16:39
Betclic (FR)	2.62I 38.17% NM 32.87%EV -11.41% E -4.36% K -7.04% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 42.01%EV -15.20% E -7.42% K -14.48% G +0.000%	3.43I 29.15% NM 25.11%EV -14.85% E -4.33% K -6.11% G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-06-30 16:19
Winamax (DE)	2.55I 39.22% NM 34.10%EV -13.78% E -5.40% K -8.89% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 41.41%EV -13.14% E -6.26% K -11.94% G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17% NM 24.49%EV -11.87% E -3.35% K -4.66% G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-06-30 16:29
Sky Bet	2.50I 40.00% NM 34.43%EV -15.47% E -6.19% K -10.31% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 40.98%EV -13.14% E -6.26% K -11.94% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 24.59%EV -13.12% E -3.75% K -5.25% G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-07-04 16:40
BoyleSports	2.50I 40.00% NM 33.73%EV -15.47% E -6.19% K -10.31% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 42.17%EV -17.27% E -8.64% K -17.27% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 24.10%EV -13.12% E -3.75% K -5.25% G +0.000%	18.6%	2026-07-01 01:29
Winamax (FR)	2.50I 40.00% NM 33.50%EV -15.47% E -6.19% K -10.31% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 41.87%EV -17.27% E -8.64% K -17.27% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 24.63%EV -15.60% E -4.59% K -6.50% G +0.000%	19.4%	2026-06-30 18:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Servette (Local)	FC Basel (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-07-01 07:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-07-01 07:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-07-01 07:29