Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zurich v FC Vaduz

Início: 2026-09-13 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Zurich 2–1 FC Vaduz

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zurich (Local)

Previsão 36.71%2.72odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.886%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.61%36.69%36.72%38.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.472.452.6644.44%40.44%40.82%37.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Vaduz (Visitante)

Previsão 38.87%2.57odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.39%38.86%38.91%40.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.382.392.5046.51%42.02%41.84%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.42%4.09odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -0.577%
Kelly -0.769%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.05%24.45%24.36%25.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.763.804.0028.57%26.56%26.32%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Zurich (Local): 36.71%; FC Vaduz (Visitante): 38.87%; Empate: 24.42%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.09. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.00, com valor esperado de -2.31%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%EV -2.36%E -0.886%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 11:56
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%EV -2.36%E -0.886%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 11:56
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.62%EV -3.09%E -1.17%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.14%EV -3.99%E -1.62%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.23%EV -2.55%E -0.639%K -0.853%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 11:56
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.56%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 11:50
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -4.56%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -4.38%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -4.56%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.85%EV -5.55%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -4.77%E -1.95%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -2.83%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 11:45
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -8.66%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -6.40%E -2.51%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:20
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%EV -7.13%E -2.82%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.06%EV -7.88%E -3.32%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -8.23%E -3.29%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:45
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.23%E -3.29%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.769%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 11:35
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.23%E -3.29%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.34%EV -8.23%E -3.29%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -12.54%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.23%E -3.29%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -14.49%E -6.59%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 11:30
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:30
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:31
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:31
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:31
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:30
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:31
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -3.60%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:31
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 11:01
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 11:40
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 11:40
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.33%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.92%EV -8.66%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 11:45
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 11:35
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -8.66%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.58%EV -12.54%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.58%EV -12.54%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.58%EV -12.54%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.29%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -13.30%E -3.75%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 11:56
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.11%EV -10.07%E -4.11%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.32%EV -12.54%E -5.58%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 11:30
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -11.90%E -4.96%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.52%E -4.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:45
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -12.64%E -5.31%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -12.64%E -5.31%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -14.47%E -6.21%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.70%EV -8.66%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 11:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -14.47%E -6.21%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.70%EV -8.66%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -14.47%E -6.21%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.70%EV -8.66%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%EV -10.85%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 11:31
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -17.41%E -7.74%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.17%EV -16.43%E -7.64%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.39%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%18.7%2026-09-13 11:46
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.03%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-13 11:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.03%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-13 11:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.03%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-13 11:51
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.74%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-13 11:56
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.52%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-09-13 11:56