Language:English
FC Zurich v FC Thun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Zurich (Local)
Prediction 39.32%2.54fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.676%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.52%39.28%39.29%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.352.5045.45%42.13%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Thun (Visit)
Prediction 35.72%2.80fair odd
EV -0.696%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.391%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.78%35.68%39.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.522.502.7844.84%39.62%40.00%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -0.181%
Edge -0.045%
Kelly -0.060%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.78%24.94%25.03%26.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.673.704.0028.57%27.22%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zurich (Local): 39.32%; FC Thun (Visit): 35.72%; Draw: 24.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.181%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.38%EV -8.20%E -3.19%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.20%EV -0.930%E -0.234%K -0.313%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-10 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.82%EV -20.34%E -9.12%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%EV -1.69%E -0.676%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.82%EV -20.34%E -9.12%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.49%EV -3.66%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.18%EV -1.77%E -0.643%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.33%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.09%EV -4.44%E -1.83%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -14.98%E -6.30%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.181%E -0.045%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-10 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -0.696%E -0.250%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -0.696%E -0.250%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -5.34%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-10 15:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -5.34%E -2.01%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -8.91%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -16.06%E -6.83%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -6.41%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.14%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.91%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.68%E -0.686%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.59%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.68%EV -8.37%E -3.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.63%EV -4.63%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.16%E -2.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 15:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.55%E -1.32%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.17%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 15:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -8.91%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -8.91%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -8.91%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.42%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-10 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.67%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.13%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.25%EV -8.91%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -12.48%E -5.10%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.95%EV -10.73%E -4.73%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.79%EV -11.77%E -4.76%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -8.92%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.49%E -6.13%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -10.70%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-10 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.17%EV -13.49%E -6.13%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.21%EV -14.98%E -6.30%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.62%EV -12.66%E -3.62%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-10 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.4% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.18% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 0.8% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |