Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zurich v FC Sion

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Zurich (Local)

Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -0.385%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.33%26.85%26.84%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.403.403.7031.75%29.40%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Sion (Visit)

Prediction 47.95%2.09fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.44%48.00%47.96%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.921.932.0057.47%52.19%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -0.603%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.44%25.15%25.21%27.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.553.9132.26%28.15%28.17%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Zurich (Local): 26.92%; FC Sion (Visit): 47.95%; Draw: 25.13%. For FC Zurich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.385%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -0.385%E -0.104%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.08%E -0.855%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.98%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -2.01%E -0.515%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.08%E -0.855%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.98%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -2.01%E -0.515%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:30
GTbets🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -3.08%E -0.855%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.70%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 16:30
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -3.08%E -0.855%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 15:50
Pinnacle🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.93%EV -3.35%E -0.932%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.34%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.73%EV -1.76%E -0.449%K -0.603%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 16:55
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.26%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 16:35
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 16:30
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.46%E -3.86%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 16:53
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 16:35
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:45
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 16:00
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.45%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 08:00
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 08:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 08:00
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 07:59
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 08:00
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 08:00
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 08:00
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 07:59
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -7.46%E -3.86%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -15.83%E -4.72%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 15:50
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 15:50
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.43%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -10.80%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 16:20
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 16:00
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.06%E -3.44%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-14 16:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.50%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -22.11%E -7.13%K -10.53%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-14 16:00
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -9.54%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -13.85%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.57%EV -12.25%E -6.69%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -13.31%E -3.86%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-14 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.29%EV -10.81%E -5.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -10.80%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 26.56%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 48.08%EV -16.57%E -9.52%K -22.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.35%EV -17.08%E -5.18%K -7.43%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-14 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.19%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%1.8%2026-03-14 16:50
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.1%2026-03-14 16:50