L’École des cotes

FC Zurich v FC Lugano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Zurich (Local)

Prévision 25.28%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.363%
Kelly -0.488%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.40%25.23%27.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.9030.30%28.45%28.57%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lugano (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.23%1.99cote équitable
EV -0.537%
Avantage -0.271%
Kelly -0.548%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.43%50.07%50.28%52.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.851.9857.80%53.40%54.05%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.49%4.08cote équitable
EV -0.580%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.190%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.76%24.53%24.49%27.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.653.604.0632.26%27.38%27.78%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.41%E -0.363%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.50%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 15:35
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.17%E -0.561%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.76%EV -0.580%E -0.143%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 15:50
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -2.68%E -0.696%K -0.940%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 15:55
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.57%E -4.11%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 15:54
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:44
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.17%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 15:55
GTbets3.73I 26.81%NM 25.38%EV -5.71%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.35%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.50%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 15:49
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.47%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 15:34
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 15:44
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.47%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.57%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 15:55
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 15:40
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.17%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 15:45
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.17%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 15:44
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 15:55
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.17%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 15:39
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 15:44
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 15:55
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 15:44
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 15:35
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 15:34
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -11.09%E -6.26%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 15:40
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.29%E -4.08%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 15:44
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -12.79%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -7.57%E -4.11%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 15:35
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.66%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.43%EV -13.10%E -7.57%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.90%EV -10.62%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -24.09%E -7.77%K -11.47%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-11 15:45
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -0.537%E -0.271%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:30
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -1.54%E -0.787%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -14.29%E -4.08%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:30
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -2.04%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.29%E -4.08%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 16:30
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -10.58%E -5.95%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -10.62%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 15:35
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-04-11 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%1.3%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-04-11 15:55