La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Zurich v FC Lugano
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Zurich (Local)
Predicción 25.28%3.96momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.363%
Kelly -0.488%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.00%25.40%25.23%27.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.513.503.9030.30%28.45%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Lugano (Visitante)
Predicción 50.23%1.99momio equitativo
EV -0.537%
Ventaja -0.271%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.43%50.07%50.28%52.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.871.851.9857.80%53.40%54.05%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.49%4.08momio equitativo
EV -0.580%
Ventaja -0.143%
Kelly -0.190%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.76%24.53%24.49%27.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.653.604.0632.26%27.38%27.78%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -1.41%E -0.363%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.50%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 15:35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.93%EV -2.17%E -0.561%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.76%EV -0.580%E -0.143%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -2.68%E -0.696%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.57%E -4.11%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 15:54 |
| FanDuel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -5.21%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -8.17%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| GTbets | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.38%EV -5.71%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.35%EV -5.56%E -2.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.50%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 15:49 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.47%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 15:34 |
| SportsBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -6.47%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 15:44 |
| Bet Right | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.47%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.57%E -4.71%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -7.73%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.65%EV -4.56%E -2.40%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.72%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.17%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -8.17%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.07%E -3.82%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| Everygame | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.17%E -2.18%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 15:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 15:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 15:44 |
| Fanatics | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.24%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 15:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 15:35 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 15:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.40%EV -11.09%E -6.26%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.11%EV -9.40%E -2.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 15:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.53%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -9.58%E -5.32%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.29%E -4.08%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-11 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -12.79%E -3.71%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.57%EV -7.57%E -4.11%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.95%E -1.83%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.66%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.43%EV -13.10%E -7.57%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.90%EV -10.62%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -8.07%E -4.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -24.09%E -7.77%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-11 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -0.537%E -0.271%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -15.32%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -1.04%E -0.528%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -13.07%E -3.68%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -1.54%E -0.787%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -14.29%E -4.08%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -2.04%E -1.05%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.29%E -4.08%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -10.58%E -5.95%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -10.62%E -2.91%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 15:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -16.58%E -5.02%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.59%EV -12.09%E -6.91%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -11.84%E -3.29%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 15:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.79% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 15:55 |