L’École des cotes

FC Winterthur v Servette

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Winterthur (Local)

Prévision 22.68%4.41cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.588%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.22%22.58%22.70%23.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.154.104.5027.03%24.07%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Servette (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.61%1.87cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -5.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.48%53.74%53.60%55.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.701.711.7863.29%58.77%58.48%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.71%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.404%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.126%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.73%23.68%23.71%24.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.853.854.2028.57%25.96%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:49
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 10:50
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -12.62%E -7.74%K -20.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 10:49
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -0.211%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.07%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 18:35
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -0.211%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.07%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 18:35
Pinnacle4.33I 23.09%NM 22.27%EV -1.80%E -0.415%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.16%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.57%EV -3.01%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 19:20
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -2.48%E -0.576%K -0.751%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.57%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:10
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.404%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:25
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 15:50
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-03 17:20
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:15
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 18:40
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.04%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 17:11
1xBet4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -6.79%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.89%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 19:16
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 17:10
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 15:50
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 16:36
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:55
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:54
BetAnything4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-03 18:55
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -8.15%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 17:11
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -8.15%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-03 17:10
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 19:10
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:15
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 15:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 15:41
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 15:41
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 15:41
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 19:25
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:25
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 19:24
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 18:25
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-03 18:30
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -11.55%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 19:26
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.55%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.55%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 15:35
Betclic (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.55%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.16%EV -9.94%E -5.92%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -11.55%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-03 19:04
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.68%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 17:10
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.68%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 19:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -12.68%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-03 19:05
NetBet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.80%EV -13.82%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.14%EV -12.62%E -7.74%K -20.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -14.63%E -4.06%K -5.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-03 19:24
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-03 15:41
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -16.09%E -4.35%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-03 17:10
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 22.73%EV -16.09%E -4.35%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 53.24%EV -15.30%E -9.68%K -26.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.03%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-03 19:26
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-03 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-03 19:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-03 19:25
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-03 19:25
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.8%2026-03-03 19:26