La escuela de los momiosFC Winterthur v Servette
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Winterthur (Local)
Predicción 22.68%4.41momio equitativo
EV +2.06%
Ventaja +0.457%
Kelly +0.588%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.22%22.58%22.70%23.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.154.104.5027.03%24.07%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Servette (Visitante)
Predicción 53.61%1.87momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -5.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.48%53.74%53.60%55.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.701.711.7863.29%58.77%58.48%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.71%4.22momio equitativo
EV -0.404%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.126%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.73%23.68%23.71%24.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.853.854.2028.57%25.96%25.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -11.55%E -7.00%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV +2.06%E +0.457%K +0.588%G +0.012% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -12.62%E -7.74%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -0.211%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.07%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -0.211%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.07%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.06%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.27%EV -1.80%E -0.415%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.16%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.57%EV -3.01%E -0.736%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -2.48%E -0.576%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.69%EV -6.57%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.404%E -0.096%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -2.78%E -0.677%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -4.75%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 18:40 |
| GTbets | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -5.88%E -1.42%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.04%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 17:11 |
| 1xBet | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -6.79%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.38%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.89%EV -7.28%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 19:16 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 16:36 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| BetUS | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:54 |
| BetAnything | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.01%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -8.15%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 17:11 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -8.15%E -2.01%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.00%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -8.70%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.15%E -1.29%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:15 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 15:40 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 15:41 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 15:41 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 15:41 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -8.33%E -4.87%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.52%E -1.93%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 19:24 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.28%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-03 18:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -11.55%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.89%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.55%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.55%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.55%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.16%EV -9.94%E -5.92%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -11.55%E -3.10%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-03 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.68%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -6.33%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.68%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -12.68%E -3.29%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94%EV -12.26%E -3.31%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.80%EV -13.82%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.14%EV -12.62%E -7.74%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -14.63%E -4.06%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-03 19:24 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -14.95%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -10.48%E -6.27%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-03 15:41 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -16.09%E -4.35%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -11.01%E -6.63%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -11.07%E -2.95%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.73%EV -16.09%E -4.35%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 53.24%EV -15.30%E -9.68%K -26.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.03%EV -17.00%E -4.86%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.8% | 2026-03-03 19:26 |