L’École des cotes

FC Winterthur v FC Thun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Winterthur (Local)

Prévision 16.14%6.19cote équitable
EV +4.94%
Avantage +0.760%
Kelly +0.898%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.17%16.13%16.19%17.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.655.506.5020.00%17.69%18.18%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Thun (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.49%1.55cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -2.62%
Kelly -7.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%64.48%64.46%66.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.431.441.4976.92%69.73%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.37%5.16cote équitable
EV +1.67%
Avantage +0.318%
Kelly +0.393%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.20%19.40%19.35%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.604.605.2526.67%21.75%21.74%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +4.94%E +0.760%K +0.898%G +0.044%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 17:05
Bet Right6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +4.94%E +0.760%K +0.898%G +0.044%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-25 17:04
1xBet6.30I 15.87%NM 14.85%EV +1.71%E +0.272%K +0.323%G +0.006%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.42%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.74%EV -8.21%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 17:54
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV +0.904%E +0.145%K +0.172%G +0.002%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -11.00%E -7.97%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-25 17:04
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.08%EV +0.097%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.84%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.11%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 17:45
Marathon Bet6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -0.710%E -0.115%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 17:29
GTbets6.11I 16.37%NM 15.41%EV -1.36%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -5.11%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 17:45
BetOnline.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.13%E -0.522%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +1.67%E +0.318%K +0.393%G +0.007%4.7%2026-02-25 16:45
LowVig.ag6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.13%E -0.522%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +1.67%E +0.318%K +0.393%G +0.007%4.7%2026-02-25 16:45
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.13%E -0.522%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.88%EV -5.85%E -4.00%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -5.11%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-25 17:30
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -3.13%E -0.522%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 16:44
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.13%E -0.522%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-25 16:59
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -3.13%E -0.522%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 16:48
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -3.13%E -0.522%K -0.626%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-25 17:30
Pinnacle5.90I 16.95%NM 16.36%EV -4.75%E -0.804%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.76%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.88%EV -1.04%E -0.204%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-25 17:55
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -7.17%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.53%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -3.17%E -0.634%K -0.793%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 17:45
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.17%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 17:25
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -7.17%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -14.79%E -3.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-25 17:54
BetUS5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -7.98%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.66%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.00%EV -5.11%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 17:50
Betsson5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -7.98%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 17:25
NordicBet5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -7.98%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.28%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-25 17:25
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 17:44
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 17:45
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:35
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:24
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:24
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:24
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.14%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -15.76%E -3.62%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 17:25
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-25 17:30
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-25 17:30
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-25 17:30
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-25 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 16:40
Neds5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 16:40
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-25 16:40
Betclic (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-25 17:34
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-25 17:30
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -16.15%E -3.73%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-25 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -11.20%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -27.38%E -7.30%K -9.96%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-25 17:00
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -12.82%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 17:25
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -12.82%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -16.73%E -3.89%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-25 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.40%EV -12.82%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.70%EV -10.36%E -7.45%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.90%EV -13.82%E -3.11%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-25 17:35
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.12%EV -12.82%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 64.96%EV -13.58%E -10.14%K -39.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -10.92%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-25 17:55
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 15.45%EV -12.82%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 64.19%EV -16.16%E -12.43%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.35%EV -20.60%E -5.02%K -6.65%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-25 17:30
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.24%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-25 17:50
Everygame5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -15.24%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.39%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -8.01%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-25 17:30
Winamax (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -17.66%E -3.46%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.23%EV -10.36%E -7.45%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-25 17:24
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -12.85%E -2.86%K -3.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-25 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.83%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%0.6%2026-02-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.83%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%0.6%2026-02-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.83%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%0.6%2026-02-25 17:55
Matchbook6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-02-25 17:55
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.27%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.5%2026-02-25 17:45