L’École des cotes

FC Winterthur v FC Lausanne-Sport

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 16:02 UTC

Score final : FC Winterthur 2–1 FC Lausanne-Sport

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Winterthur (Local)

Prévision 36.97%2.70cote équitable
EV +1.67%
Avantage +0.608%
Kelly +0.956%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.61%36.76%37.06%38.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.502.7543.48%39.19%40.00%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.36%2.68cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.803%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.21%37.49%37.32%41.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.232.412.402.6244.84%41.55%41.67%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.66%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.515%
Kelly -0.698%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%25.74%25.62%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.603.8233.33%28.01%27.78%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:00
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:00
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 15:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:00
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:00
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:00
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -14.81%E -6.49%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 16:00
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV +1.67%E +0.608%K +0.956%G +0.016%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -15.93%E -7.08%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -6.33%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 15:58
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -0.175%E -0.065%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -15.93%E -7.08%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.33%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -0.175%E -0.065%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -15.93%E -7.08%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.33%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -0.175%E -0.065%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -16.68%E -7.48%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:00
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -0.175%E -0.065%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -16.68%E -7.48%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 15:59
GTbets2.69I 37.17%NM 35.33%EV -0.545%E -0.203%K -0.323%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.48%EV -7.71%E -3.12%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.18%EV -6.84%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 15:58
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 15:59
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:59
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.34%EV -4.24%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.34%EV -3.22%E -1.25%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.32%EV -1.97%E -0.515%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -5.35%E -2.09%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -2.10%E -0.803%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 16:00
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -5.35%E -2.09%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -2.10%E -0.803%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:59
BetUS2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -5.35%E -2.09%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -2.10%E -0.803%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:59
BetAnything2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -5.35%E -2.09%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -2.10%E -0.803%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.72%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 15:59
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.72%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:00
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -6.46%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.47%E -2.16%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -8.38%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 15:59
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -6.46%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -7.10%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:00
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:59
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 15:59
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.33%E -1.73%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 15:59
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.07%E -4.65%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.07%E -4.65%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.45%E -4.83%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 15:59
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -7.57%E -3.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -11.45%E -4.83%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 16:00
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -8.31%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -7.34%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 15:59
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -8.31%E -3.35%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -7.34%E -2.96%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 16:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:00
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 15:59
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 16:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.46%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 16:00
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -9.42%E -3.84%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -14.06%E -6.11%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 15:59
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.77%EV -10.16%E -4.18%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.70%EV -11.45%E -4.83%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 15:56
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.30%EV -10.53%E -4.35%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.86%EV -13.31%E -5.74%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-09 15:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.27%E -4.69%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.59%E -2.64%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.61%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:00
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -11.27%E -4.69%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 15:59
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.27%E -4.69%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -11.27%E -4.69%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.06%E -6.11%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -23.01%E -7.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-09 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -13.12%E -5.58%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.19%E -5.19%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.46%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-09 16:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.96%E -6.51%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.06%E -6.11%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-09 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.06%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.4%2026-05-09 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.06%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.4%2026-05-09 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.06%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.4%2026-05-09 16:00
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.06%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.4%2026-05-09 16:00
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.21%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-09 16:00