Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Vaduz v FC Lausanne-Sport

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Vaduz 3–1 FC Lausanne-Sport

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Vaduz (Local)

Prediction 37.33%2.68fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.51%37.46%37.33%39.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.90%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visit)

Prediction 37.18%2.69fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.29%37.14%37.22%38.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.6044.44%40.39%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -0.582%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%25.40%25.45%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.9029.41%27.71%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Vaduz (Local): 37.33%; FC Lausanne-Sport (Visit): 37.18%; Draw: 25.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -0.582%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.91%EV -3.69%E -1.43%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.64%EV -5.94%E -2.35%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.46%EV -4.66%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.56%EV -4.43%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.56%EV -4.43%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:55
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.56%EV -4.43%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:59
BetAnything🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.56%EV -4.43%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.68%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 13:25
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.26%EV -5.55%E -2.20%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.40%EV -6.31%E -2.50%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.34%EV -5.17%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:35
Bovada🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.80%EV -6.30%E -2.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.55%EV -8.54%E -3.47%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.68%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:20
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.68%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:55
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 13:15
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.67%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 13:15
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -7.05%E -2.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -7.05%E -2.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.60%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.67%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.62%EV -7.42%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.16%EV -11.52%E -4.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 13:19
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -3.34%E -1.28%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -1.86%E -0.482%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 00:25
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 13:20
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.68%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 13:28
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.68%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 13:30
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:50
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:50
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.54%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:50
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -0.582%E -0.149%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -0.582%E -0.149%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 16:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -4.41%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 16:20
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -5.68%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-03 16:19
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-31 10:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.33%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -12.63%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 13:20
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -11.89%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -14.49%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 13:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.15%E -4.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -4.41%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-31 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.60%EV -11.15%E -4.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.83%EV -9.66%E -3.97%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 09:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -12.27%E -5.22%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.13%E -0.824%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.70%EV -12.27%E -5.22%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.70%EV -12.63%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.59%EV -12.27%E -5.22%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.59%EV -12.27%E -5.22%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.59%EV -12.27%E -5.22%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -10.77%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-03 09:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -14.14%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -3.13%E -0.824%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 16:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -14.14%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.91%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 16:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -14.14%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -16.35%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-04 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.82%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%4.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.82%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%4.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 38.82%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%4.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%8.3%2026-09-04 14:00