L’École des cotes

FC Thun v FC St Gallen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 19:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Prévision 49.37%2.03cote équitable
EV -3.72%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -3.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.48%49.46%49.23%51.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.851.851.9558.82%54.04%53.91%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC St Gallen (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.82%3.73cote équitable
EV +3.52%
Avantage +0.912%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.98%26.69%27.00%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.453.453.8631.75%29.00%28.99%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.81%4.20cote équitable
EV -0.013%
Avantage -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.78%23.85%23.76%25.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.793.804.2030.30%26.39%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -6.68%E -3.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.98%EV +3.52%E +0.912%K +1.23%G +0.043%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.99%EV -4.30%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 19:29
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -0.769%E -0.208%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -0.769%E -0.208%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -8.16%E -4.39%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -2.11%E -0.578%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -2.11%E -0.578%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:29
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -2.11%E -0.578%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:29
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:29
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:30
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-05 19:29
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.83%EV -6.68%E -3.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.78%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -5.20%E -2.71%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 19:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 19:30
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 19:30
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:16
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -3.72%E -1.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.013%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 19:28
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.19%E -3.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.78%EV -10.63%E -5.87%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.87%EV -15.49%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -10.63%E -5.87%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -8.16%E -4.39%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.01%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-05 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -13.59%E -7.77%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.63%EV -14.58%E -8.43%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.88%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.49%EV -21.44%E -6.50%K -9.32%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-05 19:29
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-05 19:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.19%EV -13.59%E -7.77%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-05 19:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.37%EV -16.06%E -9.45%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.98%EV -16.68%E -4.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.85%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-03-05 19:30