La escuela de los momios

FC Thun v FC St Gallen

Inicio: 2026-03-05 19:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Predicción 49.37%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -3.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.48%49.46%49.23%51.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.851.851.9558.82%54.04%53.91%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC St Gallen (Visitante)

Predicción 26.82%3.73momio equitativo
EV +3.52%
Ventaja +0.912%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.98%26.69%27.00%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.453.453.8631.75%29.00%28.99%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.81%4.20momio equitativo
EV -0.013%
Ventaja -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.78%23.85%23.76%25.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.793.804.2030.30%26.39%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.03%EV -6.68%E -3.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.98%EV +3.52%E +0.912%K +1.23%G +0.043%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.99%EV -4.30%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 19:29
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -0.769%E -0.208%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -0.769%E -0.208%K -0.285%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -8.16%E -4.39%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -1.31%E -0.355%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 19:29
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -2.11%E -0.578%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -2.11%E -0.578%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:29
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 50.43%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -2.11%E -0.578%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-05 19:29
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:29
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:30
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 19:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:29
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -3.45%E -0.959%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-05 19:29
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 49.83%EV -6.68%E -3.54%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.78%EV -5.73%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -5.20%E -2.71%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 19:30
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 19:30
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 19:30
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.13%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:16
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 48.68%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -3.72%E -1.91%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -0.013%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 19:28
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.77%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -6.19%E -3.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.18%E -3.82%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-05 19:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -8.81%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.08%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.78%EV -10.63%E -5.87%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.35%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.87%EV -15.49%E -4.36%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -7.67%E -4.10%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-05 19:30
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.54%E -2.51%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-05 19:29
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.23%EV -10.63%E -5.87%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-05 19:29
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -11.50%E -3.48%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -8.16%E -4.39%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-05 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.01%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -11.92%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-05 19:29
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -13.59%E -7.77%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -13.11%E -3.59%K -4.95%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.63%EV -14.58%E -8.43%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.88%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.49%EV -21.44%E -6.50%K -9.32%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-05 19:29
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -8.66%E -4.68%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-05 19:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 49.19%EV -13.59%E -7.77%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -14.30%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-05 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.13%E -6.18%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -10.73%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-05 19:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.37%EV -16.06%E -9.45%K -22.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -15.52%E -4.93%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.98%EV -16.68%E -4.76%K -6.67%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-05 19:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%0.5%2026-03-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-03-05 19:30
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.85%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-03-05 19:30
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-03-05 19:30