Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC St Gallen v FC Luzern

2026-08-09 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC St Gallen (Casa)

Previsione 44.92%2.23quota equa
EV -4.33%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.90%44.87%44.94%45.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.042.052.1351.55%49.11%48.78%46.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Luzern (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.89%3.35quota equa
EV -0.157%
Vantaggio -0.047%
Kelly -0.067%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.52%29.88%29.74%31.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.033.003.3435.71%32.97%33.33%29.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.19%3.97quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -0.449%
Kelly -0.604%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.80%25.26%25.32%27.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.283.673.733.9030.49%27.28%26.85%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: FC St Gallen (Casa): 44.92%; FC Luzern (Trasferta): 29.89%; Pareggio: 25.19%. Per FC Luzern (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.35. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.34, con un valore atteso del -0.157%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 44.72%EV -4.33%E -2.03%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.52%EV -0.157%E -0.047%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -10.32%E -2.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:19
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.75%EV -4.78%E -2.25%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.01%E -0.782%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 18:51
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.36%EV -5.23%E -2.48%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.89%EV -3.15%E -0.971%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 18:20
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.60%EV -6.13%E -2.93%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -3.15%E -0.971%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:17
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.03%E -3.39%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -5.84%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:34
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.34%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 20:05
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -1.75%E -0.449%K -0.604%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 18:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 18:24
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 18:50
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 18:34
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.33%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 18:34
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 18:54
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.82%E -4.01%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 18:50
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.92%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:50
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.90%EV -8.82%E -4.35%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.93%EV -7.93%E -2.57%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.17%EV -17.37%E -5.30%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 18:33
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 18:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.17%E -5.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.17%E -5.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.17%E -5.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:19
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -10.17%E -5.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.32%E -3.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.17%E -5.08%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -5.53%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -11.97%E -6.11%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -13.31%E -4.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 18:34
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -12.42%E -6.37%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.30%E -5.82%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.58%EV -12.86%E -6.63%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.35%EV -14.80%E -5.19%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.07%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 18:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 44.38%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%13.2%2026-08-02 18:35