L’École des cotes

FC St Gallen v FC Lugano

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 18:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC St Gallen (Local)

Prévision 46.66%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.736%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.32%46.66%46.68%49.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.971.962.1156.18%50.88%51.02%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lugano (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.03%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -0.744%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.34%27.02%27.05%28.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.253.6032.26%30.12%30.77%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.31%3.80cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -0.718%
Kelly -0.983%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.34%26.31%26.27%28.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.503.7033.33%29.01%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.32%EV -1.55%E -0.736%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -12.68%E -3.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 17:59
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.74%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -3.49%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -2.66%E -0.718%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 17:59
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -3.89%E -1.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 18:01
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 17:59
LowVig.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.744%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.68%E -0.744%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 17:59
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 46.90%EV -6.22%E -3.09%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -4.03%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 18:00
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 17:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 18:00
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -6.86%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 18:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 17:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 18:00
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -13.49%E -4.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:00
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -6.69%E -3.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 17:59
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 46.43%EV -7.15%E -3.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 17:59
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 17:59
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.62%E -3.85%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 18:00
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -8.09%E -4.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 18:00
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -8.09%E -4.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 17:59
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -8.09%E -4.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 17:48
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.27%EV -8.09%E -4.10%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 18:00
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -8.55%E -4.36%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -8.55%E -4.36%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:01
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 17:59
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 17:59
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 18:00
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:00
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 17:59
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.23%E -2.68%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 17:59
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:00
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:01
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 17:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:01
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.18%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -9.02%E -4.62%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.23%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-17 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -9.49%E -4.89%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -12.68%E -3.93%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 17:56
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 45.86%EV -9.95%E -5.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-17 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -9.95%E -5.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -16.20%E -5.22%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -10.42%E -5.43%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.09%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -10.42%E -5.43%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.79%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-17 17:59
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -7.92%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 18:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 45.97%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.88%E -5.70%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -21.07%E -7.02%K -10.54%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-17 17:59
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.47%EV -12.75%E -6.82%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-17 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.22%E -7.11%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -12.14%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -10.55%E -3.10%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-17 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -13.68%E -7.40%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -2.68%E -0.744%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.29%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:00
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 46.94%EV -16.95%E -9.52%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -14.84%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.53%EV -17.13%E -5.44%K -7.97%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-17 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-03-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-17 18:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.37%2.5%2026-03-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%6.0%2026-03-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%6.0%2026-03-17 18:01